Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KA Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Akureyrarvöllur, Akureyri
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Steingrimsson H.
23'
Sub
Kristinsson A. In: Jezdimirovic M.
Out: Kristinsson A.
29'
Magnusson S.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between KA Akureyri and IBV Vestmannaeyjar finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KA Akureyri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
KA Akureyri
39%
Draws
31%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KA Akureyri come out ahead of IBV Vestmannaeyjar on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
KA Akureyri Clean Sheet 10%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KA Akureyri IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.88 2.5
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs KA Akureyri
2:2
May 10, 2026 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs KA Akureyri
3:4
Aug 10, 2025 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1:0
May 18, 2025 Besta deild karla
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs KA Akureyri
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KA Akureyri Compare

Top Goalscorer Steingrimsson H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

IBV Vestmannaeyjar Compare

Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KA Akureyri 29 / 100
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KA Akureyri IBV Vestmannaeyjar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AKU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IBV Vestmannaeyjar let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

KA Akureyri found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

KA Akureyri has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KA Akureyri VS IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.88 Goals Scored 2.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

KA Akureyri

(Home)
27 Jul
KA Akureyri
0 : 0
Thor Akureyri
19 Jul
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2 : 2
KA Akureyri
12 Jul
KA Akureyri
3 : 2
Akranes
02 Jul
Vikingur Reykjavik
3 : 2
KA Akureyri
28 Jun
Stjarnan
3 : 1
KA Akureyri
Page 1 of 6

IBV Vestmannaeyjar

(Away)
27 Jul
Breidablik
1 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
19 Jul
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2 : 2
KA Akureyri
12 Jul
KR Reykjavik
5 : 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
04 Jul
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 0
Valur
28 Jun
Hafnarfjordur
1 : 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik16141154:1243
2KR Reykjavik16112358:3635
3Fram16104241:2834
4Breidablik1685335:2629
5Valur1661926:3219
6Keflavik1654725:3319
7Akranes1653826:3418
8IBV Vestmannaeyjar1644826:3416
9KA Akureyri1643924:3215
10Stjarnan1643929:4115
11Hafnarfjordur1627720:3113
12Thor Akureyri16331017:4212
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)