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KaaPo vs Ekenas IF

Finland Finland

Suomen Cup 2022
Tue, May 3, 2022
2 - 3
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Larsson A.
24' Event
Salminen J.
42'
Lapinen R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Ekenas IF advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
KaaPo
20%
Draws
20%
Ekenas IF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KaaPo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ekenas IF come out ahead of KaaPo on wins alone.
  • Ekenas IF are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Ekenas IF arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ekenas IF, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
KaaPo Clean Sheet 20%
Ekenas IF Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KaaPo Ekenas IF
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 2 4
Losses 23 15
Goals Scored 1.15 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.88 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2023 Suomen Cup
KaaPo vs Ekenas IF
1:4
May 3, 2022 Suomen Cup
KaaPo vs Ekenas IF
2:3
Jan 23, 2021 Club Friendly
KaaPo vs Ekenas IF
2:1
Sep 11, 2010 Kakkonen Group B
Ekenas IF vs KaaPo
3:1
Jun 4, 2010 Kakkonen Group B
KaaPo vs Ekenas IF
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KaaPo Compare

Top Goalscorer Salminen J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Ekenas IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Larsson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Madianga K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KaaPo 28 / 100
Ekenas IF 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KaaPo Ekenas IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ekenas IF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

KaaPo scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Ekenas IF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Ekenas IF's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ekenas IF
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

KaaPo

(Home)
16 Apr
KaaPo
0 : 4
TPS
27 Jan
KaaPo
1 : 0
Abo IFK
17 May
KaaPo
1 : 4
Ekenas IF
29 Apr
Ylojarvi United
0 : 4
KaaPo
01 Oct
KaaPo
0 : 6
Klubi 04
Page 1 of 7

Ekenas IF

(Away)
18 Sept
JaPS
1 : 0
Ekenas IF
12 Sept
Ekenas IF
2 : 2
Haka
04 Sept
PK-35
0 : 0
Ekenas IF
29 Aug
Ekenas IF
0 : 2
Jippo
22 Aug
Ekenas IF
0 : 1
KTP
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
HAPK 2
Keski-Uusimaa 1
Lahden Reipas 0
Lahti 5
Jippo 2
JJK Jyvaskyla 1
Atlantis 2 0
Atlantis 6
Hyvinkaan Palloseura (HyPS) 1
JaPS 2
Komeetat 1
PEPO 0
TP-47 0
AC Oulu 4
Ilves 2 2
Ilves 1
PIPS 1
HJS 2
Espoo 0
Kiffen 4
PeKa 1
KTP 3
TPS 1
Haka 2
SC Riverball 0
Mikkelin 8
RoPS Rovaniemi 0
Jaro 4
KuPS -
TBD -
KaaPo 2
Ekenas IF 3
Turun Pallokerho 0
Ilves-Kissat 4
Toukolan Teras 0
PK-35 4
Nouseva Laaka 0
KJP Kouvola 2
MuSa 0
SalPa 1
EPS 2 0
EPS 3
FC Aland 0
Mariehamn 6
Malmin Ponnistajat 1
Poxyt 2
Honka 1
HIFK 2
VIFK 1
SJK Akatemia 4
TBD -
SJK -
Inter Turku -
TBD -
FC Inter Turku 2 3
Pallo-Iirot 2
KPV Kokkola 1
VPS 5
Atletico Malmi 1
VJS 7
Klubi 04 3
Gnistan 1
TBD -
HJK -
1/16-finals
HAPK 2
Lahti 6
Jippo 1
Atlantis 3
JaPS 3
Komeetat 1
AC Oulu 4
Ilves 2 0
HJS 2
Kiffen 0
KTP 2
Haka 4
Mikkelin 1
Jaro 0
KuPS 5
Ekenas IF 1
Ilves-Kissat 2
PK-35 7
KJP Kouvola 3
SalPa 6
EPS 0
Mariehamn 3
Poxyt 0
HIFK 7
SJK Akatemia 2
SJK 3
Inter Turku 10
FC Inter Turku 2 0
VPS 2
VJS 0
Klubi 04 0
HJK 4
1/8-finals
Lahti 4
Atlantis 2
JaPS 2
AC Oulu 1
HJS 0
Haka 1
Mikkelin 0
KuPS 1
PK-35 1
SalPa 0
Mariehamn 1
HIFK 2
SJK 1
Inter Turku 2
VPS 0
HJK 1
Quarter-finals
Lahti 2
JaPS 1
Haka 2
KuPS 3
PK-35 2
HIFK 3
Inter Turku 1
HJK 0
Semi-finals
Lahti 0
KuPS 1
HIFK 2
Inter Turku 3
Final
KuPS 1
Inter Turku 0