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Kabati vs Equity Bank Prediction & H2H Stats

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Kabati and Equity Bank finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Equity Bank.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kabati
20%
Draws
40%
Equity Bank
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Equity Bank carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Kabati Clean Sheet 13%
Equity Bank Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kabati Equity Bank
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 18
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 0.9 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Super League
Kabati vs Equity Bank
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Super League
Equity Bank vs Kabati
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kabati 35 / 100
Equity Bank 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kabati Equity Bank

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Equity Bank Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kabati found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Kabati has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Equity Bank's defensive record shows goals conceded in 43% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kabati VS Equity Bank
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kabati

(Home)
13 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kabati
07 Jun
Kabati
2 : 1
Naivas FC
01 Jun
Nairobi City Stars
1 : 2
Kabati
28 May
Kabati
5 : 0
Luanda Villa
24 May
Soy United
2 : 1
Kabati
Page 1 of 6

Equity Bank

(Away)
13 Jun
Equity Bank
2 : 0
Mwatate United
07 Jun
Migori
2 : 1
Equity Bank
01 Jun
Equity Bank
1 : 0
Soy United
27 May
Fortune Sacco
0 : 4
Equity Bank
23 May
3K FC
0 : 0
Equity Bank
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
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