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Kahramanmarasspor vs Kirikkale FK Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Toklu M.
Assist: Yilmaz K.
12' Event
Saygi V.
Assist: Unal M.
49' Event
Aydin E.
Assist: Ahmetoglu S.

AI Match Summary

Kahramanmarasspor in this 3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kahramanmarasspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Kahramanmarasspor
30%
Draws
23%
Kirikkale FK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kahramanmarasspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kirikkale FK lately — more wins on the board than Kahramanmarasspor.
  • Win probability leans Kahramanmarasspor's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Kirikkale FK have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Kahramanmarasspor Clean Sheet 68%
Kirikkale FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kahramanmarasspor Kirikkale FK
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 11 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.33 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Kahramanmarasspor vs Kirikkale FK
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 3. Lig Group 2
Kirikkale FK vs Kahramanmarasspor
2:0
May 20, 2023 3. Lig Group 2
Kirikkale FK vs Kahramanmarasspor
3:0
Dec 18, 2022 3. Lig Group 2
Kahramanmarasspor vs Kirikkale FK
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kahramanmarasspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Toklu M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saygi V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Kirikkale FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Destan O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kahramanmarasspor 77 / 100
Kirikkale FK 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kahramanmarasspor Kirikkale FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kahramanmarasspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kahramanmarasspor found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Defensive concern: Kirikkale FK conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Kahramanmarasspor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kahramanmarasspor VS Kirikkale FK
1.57 Goals Scored 1.63
1.29 Goals Conceded 2.13
86% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 88%
43% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kahramanmarasspor

(Home)
18 Apr
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
2 : 2
Kahramanmarasspor
12 Apr
Kahramanmarasspor
1 : 4
Erciyes 38
05 Apr
Mazidagi
0 : 2
Kahramanmarasspor
29 Mar
Kahramanmarasspor
1 : 0
Kirsehir SK
25 Mar
12 Bingol Spor
1 : 1
Kahramanmarasspor
Page 1 of 6

Kirikkale FK

(Away)
03 Oct
Kirikkale FK
3 : 0
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
27 Sept
Erciyes 38
2 : 1
Kirikkale FK
20 Sept
Kirikkale FK
0 : 0
Mazidagi
16 Sept
Kirikkale FK
0 : 3
Kirsehir SK
12 Sept
Malatya
3 : 1
Kirikkale FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 12 Bingol Spor 30 17 9 4 60:28 60
2 Erciyes 38 30 13 10 7 42:31 49
3 Silifke 30 12 12 6 41:26 48
4 Malatya 30 13 8 9 45:35 47
5 Mazidagi 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Agri 1970 30 12 9 9 57:33 45
7 Karakopru 30 12 8 10 38:42 44
8 Osmaniyespor 30 12 6 12 42:40 42
9 Nigde 30 11 8 11 44:36 41
10 Kirikkale FK 30 11 7 12 39:51 40
11 Kirsehir SK 30 7 13 10 37:38 34
12 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 30 8 10 12 33:42 34
13 Kahramanmarasspor 30 7 11 12 35:48 32
14 Kilis Bld. 30 8 6 16 25:53 30
15 Suvermez Kapadokyaspor 30 5 13 12 29:47 28
16 Turk Metal 1963 30 4 11 15 30:55 20
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)