Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kairat Almaty 2 vs Yelimay Semey 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Abish M.
50' Event
Bekbolat I.
Penalty Missed
63'
Kalikulov A.

AI Match Summary

The First League game between Kairat Almaty 2 and Yelimay Semey 2 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kairat Almaty 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kairat Almaty 2
6%
Draws
4%
Yelimay Semey 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kairat Almaty 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kairat Almaty 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Kairat Almaty 2 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Kairat Almaty 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Yelimay Semey 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kairat Almaty 2 Yelimay Semey 2
Matches Played 31 15
Wins 21 2
Draws 4 3
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 4.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 4.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs Yelimay Semey 2
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kairat Almaty 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Abish M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.27
Avg xA / game 2.13

Yelimay Semey 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kairat Almaty 2 95 / 100
Yelimay Semey 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kairat Almaty 2 Yelimay Semey 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kairat Almaty 2's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Yelimay Semey 2 conceded in 93% of 15 recent games.

Solid form: Kairat Almaty 2 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Yelimay Semey 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kairat Almaty 2 VS Yelimay Semey 2
4.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kairat Almaty 2

(Home)
24 Jul
Aktobe 2
0 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
17 Jul
Kairat Almaty 2
6 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
10 Jul
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
03 Jul
Kairat Almaty 2
4 : 1
Taraz
25 Jun
Kairat Almaty 2
5 : 0
Khan Tengri
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Yelimay Semey 2

(Away)
24 Jul
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 1
Taraz
16 Jul
Khan Tengri
0 : 1
Yelimay Semey 2
10 Jul
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 1
FC Astana 2
03 Jul
Arys
3 : 2
Yelimay Semey 2
25 Jun
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 3
Turan
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kairat Almaty 215132054:741
2Shakhter Karagandy15131142:640
3Turan15101431:1231
4Akademiya Ontustik1582524:2026
5FC Astana 21572626:2423
6Jaiyq1571713:1822
7Taraz1562721:2020
8Kaspij Aktau 21553719:2818
9Khan Tengri1552818:2817
10FC Ekibastuz1545617:2917
11Aktobe 21545627:4417
12Arys15311116:3610
13Yelimay Semey 215231011:289
14Tobol 215141024:437
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