Sport Picks
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Kairat Almaty
Kazakhstan
Kazakhstan Cup Kaysar Arena, Kyzylorda 
Match Events
4'
4'
Kaldybekov E.
8'
8'
Sub
Kalmurza S. In: Aldashev B.
Out: Kalmurza S.
28'
28'
Duysenbek S.
AI Match Summary
Kaisar Kyzylorda in this Kazakhstan Cup tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Kairat Almaty have won more games recently than Kaisar Kyzylorda.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Kairat Almaty arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Kairat Almaty, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Kaisar Kyzylorda Clean Sheet 15%
Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kaisar Kyzylorda | Kairat Almaty |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 19 |
| Draws | 14 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 2.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
0:0
May 6, 2026 Premier League
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Kairat Almaty
1:2
Apr 29, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Kairat Almaty
2:1
Jul 19, 2025 Premier League
Kairat Almaty vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
1:1
Apr 20, 2025 Premier League
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Kairat Almaty
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kaisar Kyzylorda Compare
Top Goalscorer Kaldybekov E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tazhibay B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Kairat Almaty Compare
Top Goalscorer Tuyakbaev A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kaisar Kyzylorda 31 / 100
Kairat Almaty 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kaisar Kyzylorda Kairat Almaty
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kaisar Kyzylorda scored in 61% of their last 28 games.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Kaisar Kyzylorda stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Kairat Almaty has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.
Scoring Trends
Kaisar Kyzylorda VS Kairat Almaty
0.63 Goals Scored 2.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Kaisar Kyzylorda
(Home) 18 Jul
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 1 Kaspij Aktau
12 Jul
Ulytau
1 : 0 Kaisar Kyzylorda
05 Jul
Kaisar Kyzylorda
0 : 0 Ertis Pavlodar
28 Jun
Ertis Pavlodar
1 : 2 Kaisar Kyzylorda
20 Jun
Kaisar Kyzylorda
0 : 0 Ulytau
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 1 Kaspij Aktau
05 Jul
Kaisar Kyzylorda
0 : 0 Ertis Pavlodar
20 Jun
Kaisar Kyzylorda
0 : 0 Ulytau
28 May
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2 : 3 Yelimay Semey
17 May
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2 : 1 Tobol
Page 1 of 3
Kairat Almaty
(Away) 22 Jul
Omonia
1 : 0 Kairat Almaty
18 Jul
Atyrau
1 : 3 Kairat Almaty
15 Jul
Sutjeska
0 : 2 Kairat Almaty
08 Jul
Kairat Almaty
2 : 1 Sutjeska
02 Jul
Kairat Almaty
5 : 0 Okzhetpes
Page 1 of 7
22 Jul
Omonia
1 : 0 Kairat Almaty
18 Jul
Atyrau
1 : 3 Kairat Almaty
15 Jul
Sutjeska
0 : 2 Kairat Almaty
27 Jun
Okzhetpes
1 : 3 Kairat Almaty
21 Jun
Kyzylzhar
2 : 4 Kairat Almaty
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Akademiya Ontustik2
Ordabasy4
FC Ekibastuz0
Kaspij Aktau4
Jas Qyran0
Atyrau4
Karshiga Almaty0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan1
Arys0
Aktobe4
Turan1
Yelimay Semey4
Jelaev Nan0
Altai2
Taraz0
Ulytau1
Talas0
Kaisar Kyzylorda2
Jaiyq1
Kairat Almaty3
BKS1
FC Astana2
Ansat0
Tobol8
Shakhter Karagandy2
Okzhetpes3
Chromtau1
Zhenis4
SD Family-
Ertis Pavlodar-
Khan Tengri0
Kyzylzhar1
1/8-finals
Ordabasy3
Kaspij Aktau0
Atyrau0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan2
Aktobe2
Yelimay Semey1
Altai4
Ulytau3
Kaisar Kyzylorda2
Kairat Almaty1
FC Astana1
Tobol2
Okzhetpes2
Zhenis3
Ertis Pavlodar1
Kyzylzhar2
Quarter-finals
Ordabasy1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan0
Aktobe1
Altai2
Kaisar Kyzylorda2
Tobol1
Zhenis2
Kyzylzhar0
Semi-finals
Ordabasy3
Altai1
Kaisar Kyzylorda-
Zhenis-
Final
TBD-
TBD-