Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kaitseliit II vs Navi Vutiselts

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2013/2014
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Kaspar L.
30' Event
Ibisomi A.
38' Event
Maidla V.

AI Match Summary

Navi Vutiselts in this Estonian Cup 2013/2014 tie, finishing 1-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Kaitseliit II
15%
Draws
85%
Navi Vutiselts
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Navi Vutiselts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Navi Vutiselts have won more games recently than Kaitseliit II.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Navi Vutiselts taking it.
  • Navi Vutiselts arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Navi Vutiselts, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Kaitseliit II Clean Sheet 10%
Navi Vutiselts Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaitseliit II Navi Vutiselts
Matches Played 3 15
Wins 0 7
Draws 0 0
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 1.33 1.47
Goals Conceded 6 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 3.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2013 Estonian Cup
Kaitseliit II vs Navi Vutiselts
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaitseliit II Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibisomi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Navi Vutiselts Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaspar L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Maidla V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.35
Avg xA / game 2.05

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaitseliit II 14 / 100
Navi Vutiselts 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaitseliit II Navi Vutiselts

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Navi Vutiselts Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaitseliit II scored in 100% of their last 3 games.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Navi Vutiselts let in goals in 73% of their last 15 matches.

Navi Vutiselts lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaitseliit II VS Navi Vutiselts
1.33 Goals Scored 1.38
6 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaitseliit II

(Home)
19 Jun
Kaitseliit II
1 : 5
Navi Vutiselts
20 Jun
Kose
3 : 2
Kaitseliit II
03 Aug
Kalju II
10 : 1
Kaitseliit II

Navi Vutiselts

(Away)
21 Jun
Navi Vutiselts
2 : 4
Rada Kuusalu
02 Jun
Marjamaa
4 : 0
Navi Vutiselts
01 Nov
Navi Vutiselts
0 : 7
Torva JK
06 Sept
Navi Vutiselts
3 : 1
Tallinna Kalev III
05 Aug
Jarva-Jaani
1 : 2
Navi Vutiselts
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
FCI Tallinn 9
Castovanni Eagles 0
Rakvere 3
Tallinna Kalev 5
Viimsi MRJK -
TBD -
Rada Kuusalu 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 3
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS -
TBD -
TBD -
Smuuli -
Igiliikur 1
FC KIIU 0
TBD -
FC Tartu -
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Taaksi -
Trummi 7
Helios 4
Pokkeriprod 1
FC Ararat 6
Jarva-Jaani -
TBD -
Pirita -
Merkuur Tartu -
Lasnamae 5
Saku Sporting 0
TBD -
Puuma -
Tammeka Tartu II 4
Soccernet 0
Tallinna Kalev III 0
Elva 1
Ambla 5
Loo JK 3
Rakvere Wiswald 0
FCI Tallinn II 7
Vaatsa Vald -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
IAFA Estonia -
TBD -
Tartu Harrastajad 0
Saue JK Laagri 9
Flora 18
Reaal 0
Tallinna Dnipro 0
Sillamae Kalev 11
Imavere Forss 4
Tapa 1
Olympic Tallinn 0
Tulevik 4
Kalju 14
Puhajarve Revali 0
TBD -
Kohtla-Nomme -
Lihula JK 7
Lelle 1
Voru 0
Levadia 11
Viimsi JK 4
Kaitseliit 0
Jogeva 1
Ulikool Tallinn 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 3
Metropool Parnu 1
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu -
Legion -
Kose JK -
Ganvix Turi 0
Eston Villa 1
Navi Vutiselts 5
Kaitseliit II 1
Torva JK 1
Tartu SK 10 6
Parnu Linnameeskond 3
Kalju III 1
TBD -
FC Balteco -
Tartu Ulikool -
Taebla -
Dinamo Tallinn 1
Otepaa 2
Nomme Utd 1
SK EPMU Tartu 0
TBD -
Haiba -
Shnelli 3
Raudteetoolised 2
Parnu-Jaagupi -
Johvi Phoenix -
Kuressaare 3
Kadakas 0
Roosad Pantrid 1
JK Poseidon 8
Oismae Torm 4
Eesti Vaitlusselts 0
Valga Warrior 1
Tallinn Piraaja 3
Tartu SK 10 II 4
Maccabi 2
TBD -
Toompea -
Rummu Dunamo 2
Tallinna Kalev II 0
Twister Tallinn 0
Paide Linnameeskond 5
Kivioli Irbis 4
Kose 1
Leisi 2
FC Lootos Polva 5
Rapla 6
Donkers 0
Kalju II 0
Raasiku Joker 1
Narva 11
Retro 1
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Tartu Tehased 3
Eestimaa Kasakad 2
Vandra Vaprus 1
Santos Tartu 3
1/32-finals
FCI Tallinn 2
Tallinna Kalev 1
Viimsi MRJK 0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 5
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS 5
Smuuli 1
Igiliikur 0
FC Tartu 4
Tartu JK Welco 5
SK Taaksi 2
Trummi 1
FC Ararat 2
Jarva-Jaani 2
Merkuur Tartu 0
Lasnamae 1
Puuma 5
Tammeka Tartu II 2
Elva 1
Ambla 1
FCI Tallinn II 8
Vaatsa Vald 2
JK Jalgpallihaigla 1
IAFA Estonia 1
Saue JK Laagri 2
Flora 1
Sillamae Kalev 0
Imavere Forss 0
Tulevik 1
Kalju 14
Kohtla-Nomme 0
Lihula JK 0
Levadia 8
Viimsi JK 1
Ulikool Tallinn 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 1
Tammeka Tartu 5
Legion 8
Eston Villa 0
Navi Vutiselts 0
Tartu SK 10 7
Parnu Linnameeskond 7
FC Balteco 1
Tartu Ulikool 0
Otepaa 3
Nomme Utd 7
Haiba 1
Shnelli 0
Johvi Phoenix 13
Kuressaare 6
JK Poseidon 1
Oismae Torm 0
Tallinn Piraaja 6
Tartu SK 10 II -
Toompea -
Rummu Dunamo 2
Paide Linnameeskond 5
Kivioli Irbis 7
FC Lootos Polva 1
Rapla 0
Raasiku Joker 9
Narva 4
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Tartu Tehased 0
Santos Tartu 8
1/16-finals
FCI Tallinn 6
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS 1
FC Tartu 2
Tartu JK Welco 2
FC Ararat 1
Jarva-Jaani 1
Puuma 8
Tammeka Tartu II 2
FCI Tallinn II 1
Vaatsa Vald 0
Saue JK Laagri 4
Flora 2
Tulevik 1
Kalju 1
Levadia 3
Viimsi JK 3
Tammeka Tartu 1
Legion 1
Tartu SK 10 2
Parnu Linnameeskond 4
Otepaa 1
Nomme Utd 2
Johvi Phoenix 6
Kuressaare 1
Tallinn Piraaja 0
Tartu SK 10 II 1
Paide Linnameeskond 6
Kivioli Irbis 5
Raasiku Joker 1
Narva 0
Santos Tartu 1
1/8-finals
FCI Tallinn 6
FC Tartu 1
Tartu JK Welco 3
Puuma 4
Tammeka Tartu II 6
Saue JK Laagri 0
Flora 0
Levadia 2
Viimsi JK 1
Tartu SK 10 0
Parnu Linnameeskond 0
Johvi Phoenix 1
Kuressaare 1
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Kivioli Irbis 0
Santos Tartu 11
Quarter-finals
FCI Tallinn 2
Puuma 0
Tammeka Tartu II -
Levadia -
Viimsi JK 1
Johvi Phoenix 0
Kuressaare 1
Santos Tartu 3
Semi-finals
FCI Tallinn 0
Levadia 1
Viimsi JK 1
Santos Tartu 3
Final
Levadia 4
Santos Tartu 0