Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Odhiambo P.
(Penalty)
22'
22'
Imbusia A.
55'
55'
Machaka O.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Kakamega Homeboyz and Mara Sugar finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mara Sugar have managed 0.75 goals a game lately — Kakamega Homeboyz are scoring more at 1.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Kakamega Homeboyz Clean Sheet 68%
Mara Sugar Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kakamega Homeboyz | Mara Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 12 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 31, 2026 Premier League
Kakamega Homeboyz vs Mara Sugar
3:3
Sep 27, 2025 Premier League
Mara Sugar vs Kakamega Homeboyz
0:0
Feb 1, 2025 Premier League
Kakamega Homeboyz vs Mara Sugar
2:0
Aug 25, 2024 Premier League
Mara Sugar vs Kakamega Homeboyz
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kakamega Homeboyz Compare
Top Goalscorer Machaka O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Mara Sugar Compare
Top Goalscorer Imbusia A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ndayala T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kakamega Homeboyz 42 / 100
Mara Sugar 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kakamega Homeboyz Mara Sugar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Kakamega Homeboyz scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Mara Sugar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.
Mara Sugar lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kakamega Homeboyz VS Mara Sugar
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Kakamega Homeboyz
(Home) 31 May
Police FC
1 : 1 Kakamega Homeboyz
23 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 2 Kakamega Homeboyz
16 May
Kakamega Homeboyz
1 : 2 Leopards
10 May
Muranga
1 : 0 Kakamega Homeboyz
03 May
Kakamega Homeboyz
0 : 1 Mahia
Page 1 of 6
16 May
Kakamega Homeboyz
1 : 2 Leopards
03 May
Kakamega Homeboyz
0 : 1 Mahia
12 Apr
Kakamega Homeboyz
0 : 1 Ulinzi Stars
04 Apr
Kakamega Homeboyz
3 : 0 Mathare United
22 Mar
Kakamega Homeboyz
1 : 1 Bandari
Page 1 of 3
Mara Sugar
(Away) 31 May
Muranga
2 : 1 Mara Sugar
27 May
Mara Sugar
0 : 0 Mahia
16 May
Mara Sugar
0 : 1 Mathare United
13 May
Mara Sugar
1 : 0 Shabana
09 May
Leopards
2 : 1 Mara Sugar
Page 1 of 6
31 May
Muranga
2 : 1 Mara Sugar
09 May
Leopards
2 : 1 Mara Sugar
24 Apr
Tusker
0 : 1 Mara Sugar
18 Apr
Kariobangi Sharks
0 : 1 Mara Sugar
01 Apr
Nairobi United
1 : 1 Mara Sugar
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Police FC | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 52 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47:37 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Muranga | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27:32 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30:30 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26:26 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:35 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:40 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19:40 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19:51 | 19 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)