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Kalinovo vs D. Kubin

Slovakia Slovakia

3. Liga - Central 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kalinovo play D. Kubin in the 3. Liga - Central 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kalinovo averaged 1.26 goals scored and 1.84 conceded. D. Kubin averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. In past meetings, Kalinovo won 2, D. Kubin won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 8, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Kalinovo and 1.44 for D. Kubin. This points to a Kalinovo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Kalinovo
19%
Draws
34%
D. Kubin
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Kalinovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Kalinovo picked up more points recently compared to D. Kubin.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Kalinovo Clean Sheet 16%
D. Kubin Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalinovo D. Kubin
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.26 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.84 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 3. Liga - Central
Kalinovo vs D. Kubin
2:1
Aug 2, 2025 3. Liga - Central
D. Kubin vs Kalinovo
1:3
May 17, 2025 3. Liga - East
D. Kubin vs Kalinovo
1:1
Oct 27, 2024 3. Liga - East
Kalinovo vs D. Kubin
1:3
Jun 11, 2022 4. liga - Central
D. Kubin vs Kalinovo
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalinovo 46 / 100
D. Kubin 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalinovo D. Kubin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kalinovo or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kalinovo attacking → ← attacking D. Kubin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kalinovo scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

D. Kubin let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Kalinovo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

D. Kubin lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 28
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25