Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kalju U21 vs Raplamaa

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2022 Hiiu Stadium, Tallinn
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kalju U21 in this Esiliiga B 2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kalju U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Kalju U21
15%
Draws
0%
Raplamaa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kalju U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kalju U21 lately — more wins on the board than Raplamaa.
  • Kalju U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Esiliiga B 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
  • Kalju U21 have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Kalju U21 Clean Sheet 11%
Raplamaa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalju U21 Raplamaa
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 2
Draws 4 0
Losses 20 28
Goals Scored 1.39 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.48 3.87
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2022 Esiliiga B
Raplamaa vs Kalju U21
1:2
Jul 18, 2022 Esiliiga B
Kalju U21 vs Raplamaa
2:1
May 28, 2022 Esiliiga B
Raplamaa vs Kalju U21
1:4
Apr 24, 2022 Esiliiga B
Kalju U21 vs Raplamaa
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalju U21 83 / 100
Raplamaa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalju U21 Raplamaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kalju U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Raplamaa conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Raplamaa has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Kalju U21 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

Scoring Trends

Kalju U21 VS Raplamaa
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 12
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalju U21

(Home)
21 Sept
Kalju U21
2 : 3
Nomme Utd U21
14 Sept
Tartu JK Welco
3 : 0
Kalju U21
10 Sept
Kalju U21
1 : 5
Flora Tallinn U21
06 Sept
Elva
1 : 0
Kalju U21
29 Aug
FC Tallinn
0 : 2
Kalju U21
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Raplamaa

(Away)
23 Jul
Nomme Utd
12 : 0
Raplamaa
18 Jun
Raplamaa
1 : 5
Saku Sporting
12 Jun
Legion
3 : 1
Raplamaa
29 Jul
Raplamaa
1 : 5
Laanemaa Haapsalu
13 Nov
Raplamaa
0 : 3
Tartu JK Welco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Tallinn 36 24 9 3 117:38 81
2 Tabasalu 36 25 4 7 120:50 79
3 Tallinna Kalev U21 36 20 8 8 88:48 68
4 Tartu JK Welco 36 17 10 9 68:47 61
5 Tammeka Tartu II 36 16 8 12 70:59 56
6 Legion U21 36 13 4 19 60:86 43
7 Tartu Kalev 36 11 7 18 55:81 40
8 Laanemaa Haapsalu 36 10 7 19 49:84 37
9 Kalju U21 36 10 4 22 54:100 34
10 Raplamaa 36 2 3 31 33:121 9
Promotion - Esiliiga 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2022 (Relegation)