Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-2, with Tarxien advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
17%
15%
68%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tarxien
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- Tarxien carry the better recent record into this one.
- 68% — that's where the model lands on Tarxien taking it.
- Tarxien arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Tarxien, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kalkara Clean Sheet 20%
Tarxien Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kalkara | Tarxien |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 11 | 30 |
| Wins | 2 | 8 |
| Draws | 0 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.82 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.18 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 16, 2022 FA Trophy
Kalkara vs Tarxien
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kalkara 10 / 100
Tarxien 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kalkara Tarxien
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tarxien Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tarxien has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Kalkara found the back of the net in 36% of recent matches (11 games).
Recent resilience: Kalkara stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Tarxien
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Kalkara
(Home) 16 Nov
Kalkara
0 : 2 Tarxien
27 Oct
Zebbug
3 : 1 Kalkara
26 Oct
Mellieha
2 : 0 Kalkara
01 Dec
Lija
4 : 0 Kalkara
21 Oct
St. Venera
1 : 2 Kalkara
Page 1 of 3
16 Nov
Kalkara
0 : 2 Tarxien
09 Sept
Kalkara
2 : 3 Ghajnsielem
24 Oct
Kalkara
0 : 7 Swieqi
Tarxien
(Away) 20 Sept
Tarxien
3 : 1 Attard
13 Sept
Mgarr
1 : 3 Tarxien
10 May
Zabbar
2 : 0 Tarxien
05 May
Zabbar
2 : 3 Tarxien
30 Apr
Tarxien
2 : 1 Sliema
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Mgarr
1 : 3 Tarxien
10 May
Zabbar
2 : 0 Tarxien
05 May
Zabbar
2 : 3 Tarxien
08 Mar
Valletta
3 : 1 Tarxien
18 Feb
Mosta FC
0 : 1 Tarxien
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Kalkara 0
Tarxien 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
Nadur 7
Vittoriosa 1
Valletta -
TBD -
St. Andrews 0
Zabbar 4
Hamrun -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem 5
Qrendi 0
Marsa 2
Melita 3
TBD -
Mosta FC -
Swieqi 3
Fgura 0
TBD -
Zebbug -
Pieta -
TBD -
Xewkija 2
Lija 0
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
Attard 3
Birzebbuga 2
Kercem Ajax 3
Marsaskala FC 2
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
Mtarfa -
TBD -
Sannat Lions 1
Qala Saints 3
Gudja -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions 5
Oratory 1
Sirens -
TBD -
Mqabba FC 3
Victoria Hotspurs 2
1/16-finals
Balzan FC 4
Tarxien 0
Birkirkara 4
Nadur 0
Valletta 5
Zabbar 1
Hamrun 3
Ghajnsielem 1
Melita 0
Mosta FC 3
Swieqi 1
Zebbug 0
Pieta 2
Xewkija 0
San Gwann 3
Mgarr 1
Hibernians 3
Zurrieq 1
Attard 2
Kercem Ajax 8
Floriana 0
Santa Lucia 1
Zejtun 0
Marsaxlokk 5
Gzira 2
Sliema 0
Mtarfa 1
Qala Saints 2
Gudja 2
Naxxar Lions 1
Sirens 1
Mqabba FC 0
1/8-finals
Balzan FC 2
Birkirkara 3
Valletta 1
Hamrun 2
Mosta FC 2
Swieqi 1
Pieta 0
San Gwann 2
Hibernians 8
Kercem Ajax 0
Santa Lucia 0
Marsaxlokk 2
Gzira 3
Qala Saints 0
Gudja 1
Sirens 0
Quarter-finals
Birkirkara 1
Hamrun 0
Mosta FC 5
San Gwann 0
Hibernians 0
Marsaxlokk 1
Gzira 2
Gudja 1
Semi-finals
Birkirkara 4
Mosta FC 3
Marsaxlokk 2
Gzira 1
Final
Birkirkara 2
Marsaxlokk 0
