Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kalmar vs Djurgarden

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Guldfågeln Arena, Kalmar
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Magashy A.
40'
Almyras C.
46'
Sub
Lien K. In: Rosenqvist C.
Out: Lien K.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Kalmar and Djurgarden finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Djurgarden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Kalmar
15%
Draws
78%
Djurgarden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Djurgarden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Djurgarden come out ahead of Kalmar on wins alone.
  • Model gives Djurgarden a 78% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Kalmar Clean Sheet 10%
Djurgarden Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kalmar Djurgarden
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 18
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.43 2.45
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs Djurgarden
0:1
Apr 12, 2026 Allsvenskan
Djurgarden vs Kalmar
3:2
Oct 6, 2024 Allsvenskan
Djurgarden vs Kalmar
1:1
Jul 20, 2024 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs Djurgarden
2:1
Nov 12, 2023 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs Djurgarden
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kalmar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Djurgarden Compare

Top Goalscorer Hegland B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kalmar 10 / 100
Djurgarden 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kalmar Djurgarden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Djurgarden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kalmar scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Djurgarden let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Kalmar remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kalmar VS Djurgarden
1.13 Goals Scored 3
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kalmar

(Home)
20 Sept
Kalmar
0 : 5
Hacken
13 Sept
Elfsborg
1 : 0
Kalmar
07 Sept
Kalmar
0 : 1
Djurgarden
29 Aug
Halmstad
1 : 0
Kalmar
23 Aug
Vasteras SK
0 : 0
Kalmar
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Djurgarden

(Away)
20 Sept
Djurgarden
1 : 2
Elfsborg
14 Sept
Djurgarden
2 : 0
GAIS
10 Sept
Haninge
1 : 7
Djurgarden
07 Sept
Kalmar
0 : 1
Djurgarden
03 Sept
Mjallby
0 : 2
Djurgarden
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
8 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)