Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kaposvar vs Paks II Prediction & H2H Stats

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Hampuk A.
(Penalty)
68' Event
Gyurkits G.
(Penalty)
86' Event
Gagyor D.

AI Match Summary

Kaposvar in this NB III - Southwest matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kaposvar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kaposvar
20%
Draws
40%
Paks II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kaposvar lately — more wins on the board than Paks II.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Paks II taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kaposvar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Kaposvar Clean Sheet 20%
Paks II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaposvar Paks II
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 21 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 2.28 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.06 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Kaposvar vs Paks II
3:1
May 10, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Kaposvar vs Paks II
1:2
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Kaposvar vs Paks II
3:1
Oct 26, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Paks II vs Kaposvar
0:4
May 11, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Paks II vs Kaposvar
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaposvar Compare

Top Goalscorer Gagyor D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mayer M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Paks II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaposvar 28 / 100
Paks II 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaposvar Paks II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paks II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaposvar's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Paks II let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Away concern: Paks II has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kaposvar VS Paks II
2.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaposvar

(Home)
03 Oct
Erdi
3 : 1
Kaposvar
26 Sept
Kaposvar
2 : 2
Ferencvaros II
19 Sept
Majosi
4 : 1
Kaposvar
12 Sept
Hatvan FC
1 : 4
Kaposvar
05 Sept
Kaposvar
0 : 1
Pecsi MFC
Page 1 of 7

Paks II

(Away)
03 Oct
Paks II
8 : 1
Szekszardi
27 Sept
Siofok
3 : 1
Paks II
19 Sept
Paks II
1 : 2
Budafoki MTE
05 Sept
PTE-PEAC
1 : 1
Paks II
29 Aug
Paks II
2 : 4
MTK Budapest II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pecsi MFC 10 9 1 0 30:4 28
2 Kaposvar 9 5 1 3 23:14 16
3 Budafoki MTE 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
4 PTE-PEAC 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
5 Ivancsa 9 5 0 4 21:20 15
6 Ferencvaros II 9 4 3 2 19:13 15
7 Siofok 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
8 Majosi 9 4 2 3 18:18 14
9 Dunaharaszti MTK 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
10 MTK Budapest II 8 4 0 4 21:14 12
11 Erdi 9 3 3 3 21:21 12
12 Budaorsi SC 9 3 2 4 16:26 11
13 Paks II 10 1 3 6 19:23 6
14 Sarbogard 10 1 2 7 9:24 5
15 Szekszardi 9 0 0 9 4:38 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)