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Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Mazandaran Prediction & H2H Stats

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2025/2026
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Match Events

45' Event
Rezazadeh P.
55' Event
Zeraatkar A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Azadegan League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Kara Gostar Shabestar
35%
Draws
37%
Mazandaran
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mazandaran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Mazandaran have won more games recently than Kara Gostar Shabestar.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Kara Gostar Shabestar taking it.
  • Regular Azadegan League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Kara Gostar Shabestar Clean Sheet 20%
Mazandaran Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kara Gostar Shabestar Mazandaran
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 15
Draws 11 9
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0.53 1.22
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2026 Azadegan League
Kara Gostar Shabestar vs Mazandaran
1:1
Nov 14, 2025 Azadegan League
Mazandaran vs Kara Gostar Shabestar
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kara Gostar Shabestar Compare

Top Goalscorer Zeraatkar A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Mazandaran Compare

Top Goalscorer Rezazadeh P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kara Gostar Shabestar 36 / 100
Mazandaran 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kara Gostar Shabestar Mazandaran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Kara Gostar Shabestar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Kara Gostar Shabestar scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Mazandaran has conceded goals in 50% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kara Gostar Shabestar VS Mazandaran
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kara Gostar Shabestar

(Home)
28 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 1
Mes Kerman
22 Sept
Kara Gostar Shabestar
0 : 0
Mes Rafsanjan
16 Sept
Saipa
2 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
16 Jul
Kara Gostar Shabestar
1 : 0
Shahrdari Noshahr
11 Jul
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 0
Kara Gostar Shabestar
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Mazandaran

(Away)
13 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 1
Mazandaran
07 Sept
Mazandaran
1 : 0
Kheybar Khorramabad
02 Sept
Malavan
0 : 1
Mazandaran
28 Aug
Mazandaran
0 : 2
Shams Azar Qazvin
23 Aug
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1
Mazandaran
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazandaran 34 20 9 5 48:17 69
2 Mes Shahr Babak 34 19 11 4 41:14 68
3 Sanat Naft 34 16 12 6 37:21 60
4 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 16 12 6 44:22 60
5 Saipa 34 16 11 7 30:18 59
6 Havadar SC 34 11 17 6 32:23 50
7 Naft Bandar Abbas 34 10 17 7 26:19 47
8 Fard 34 10 16 8 24:15 46
9 Mes Kerman 34 10 15 9 23:18 45
10 Ario Eslamshahr 34 9 16 9 19:18 43
11 Besat Kermanshah 34 9 11 14 25:32 38
12 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 9 10 15 17:34 37
13 Niroye Zamini 34 8 12 14 28:31 36
14 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 34 8 11 15 23:36 35
15 Naft Gachsaran 34 7 14 13 25:41 35
16 Shahrdari Noshahr 34 5 15 14 18:29 30
17 Navad Urmia 34 4 12 18 16:48 24
18 Damash Gilan 34 2 13 19 16:56 19
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