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Karadeniz Eregli vs Cayeli SK

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Bayar B.
Assist: Cagliyan B.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 game between Karadeniz Eregli and Cayeli SK finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karadeniz Eregli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Karadeniz Eregli
33%
Draws
27%
Cayeli SK
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Karadeniz Eregli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Karadeniz Eregli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Karadeniz Eregli are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Karadeniz Eregli Clean Sheet 20%
Cayeli SK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karadeniz Eregli Cayeli SK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Karadeniz Eregli vs Cayeli SK
1:0
Dec 12, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Cayeli SK vs Karadeniz Eregli
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karadeniz Eregli Compare

Top Goalscorer Bayar B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Cayeli SK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karadeniz Eregli 40 / 100
Cayeli SK 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karadeniz Eregli Cayeli SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cayeli SK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Karadeniz Eregli's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Karadeniz Eregli stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karadeniz Eregli VS Cayeli SK
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Karadeniz Eregli

(Home)
28 Apr
Karadeniz Eregli
0 : 3
Yozgat
24 Apr
Yozgat
1 : 0
Karadeniz Eregli
18 Apr
Karadeniz Eregli
5 : 3
Orduspor 1967
12 Apr
Bulancakspor
1 : 0
Karadeniz Eregli
05 Apr
Karadeniz Eregli
1 : 0
Cayeli SK
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Cayeli SK

(Away)
18 Apr
Fatsa Bld.
5 : 1
Cayeli SK
12 Apr
Cayeli SK
3 : 2
Hopaspor
05 Apr
Karadeniz Eregli
1 : 0
Cayeli SK
28 Mar
Cayeli SK
0 : 0
Sebat Spor Kulubu
24 Mar
Orduspor 1967
1 : 3
Cayeli SK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sebat Spor Kulubu30207356:2367
252 Orduspor30184868:3058
3Karadeniz Eregli30169544:2957
4Yozgat30176758:2757
5Fatsa Bld.301541140:3249
6Zonguldak Komurspor301371048:3046
7Pazarspor301110929:3143
8Karabuk Idmanyurdu301251332:4741
9Duzcespor301171230:3640
10Tokat Bld Plevnespor301061431:3836
11Orduspor 196730971435:5134
12Amasyaspor30961528:4033
13Hopaspor30951638:5032
14Bulancakspor30851730:6029
15Cayeli SK30591625:4624
16Giresunspor30491721:4321
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)