Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karadeniz Eregli vs Duzcespor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Bayar B.
Assist: Koskor E.
70' Event
Orentepe K. M.

AI Match Summary

Karadeniz Eregli in this 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karadeniz Eregli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Karadeniz Eregli
39%
Draws
31%
Duzcespor
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Karadeniz Eregli have won more games recently than Duzcespor.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Karadeniz Eregli Clean Sheet 68%
Duzcespor Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karadeniz Eregli Duzcespor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Karadeniz Eregli vs Duzcespor
2:0
Nov 2, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Duzcespor vs Karadeniz Eregli
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karadeniz Eregli Compare

Top Goalscorer Bayar B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Orentepe K. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Duzcespor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karadeniz Eregli 41 / 100
Duzcespor 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karadeniz Eregli Duzcespor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karadeniz Eregli found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Duzcespor let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Karadeniz Eregli went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karadeniz Eregli VS Duzcespor
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Karadeniz Eregli

(Home)
28 Apr
Karadeniz Eregli
0 : 3
Yozgat
24 Apr
Yozgat
1 : 0
Karadeniz Eregli
18 Apr
Karadeniz Eregli
5 : 3
Orduspor 1967
12 Apr
Bulancakspor
1 : 0
Karadeniz Eregli
05 Apr
Karadeniz Eregli
1 : 0
Cayeli SK
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Duzcespor

(Away)
18 Apr
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
2 : 0
Duzcespor
12 Apr
Duzcespor
2 : 2
52 Orduspor
05 Apr
Giresunspor
2 : 0
Duzcespor
29 Mar
Duzcespor
1 : 0
Pazarspor
25 Mar
Fatsa Bld.
1 : 2
Duzcespor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sebat Spor Kulubu30207356:2367
252 Orduspor30184868:3058
3Karadeniz Eregli30169544:2957
4Yozgat30176758:2757
5Fatsa Bld.301541140:3249
6Zonguldak Komurspor301371048:3046
7Pazarspor301110929:3143
8Karabuk Idmanyurdu301251332:4741
9Duzcespor301171230:3640
10Tokat Bld Plevnespor301061431:3836
11Orduspor 196730971435:5134
12Amasyaspor30961528:4033
13Hopaspor30951638:5032
14Bulancakspor30851730:6029
15Cayeli SK30591625:4624
16Giresunspor30491721:4321
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)