Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karaman FK vs Erbaaspor

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig White Group
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karaman FK play Erbaaspor in the 2. Lig White Group. It looks like a close match. Recently, Karaman FK averaged 0.83 goals scored and 2.47 conceded. Erbaaspor averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1.71 conceded. In past meetings, Karaman FK won 3, Erbaaspor won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 28, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Karaman FK and 2.06 for Erbaaspor. This points to a Erbaaspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Karaman FK
20%
Draws
46%
Erbaaspor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Erbaaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Karaman FK picked up more points recently compared to Erbaaspor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 2.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Karaman FK Clean Sheet 10%
Erbaaspor Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karaman FK Erbaaspor
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 0.83 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 2. Lig White Group
Karaman FK vs Erbaaspor
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 2. Lig White Group
Erbaaspor vs Karaman FK
2:0
Feb 12, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Karaman FK vs Erbaaspor
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 2. Lig Red Group
Erbaaspor vs Karaman FK
0:4
May 1, 2022 3. Lig Group 1
Karaman FK vs Erbaaspor
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karaman FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Akpinar H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gumus A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Erbaaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Sun A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karaman FK 33 / 100
Erbaaspor 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karaman FK Erbaaspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Erbaaspor or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Karaman FK attacking → ← attacking Erbaaspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karaman FK scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Erbaaspor let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Karaman FK went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Erbaaspor lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 32
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Batman Petrolspor36258386:3383
2Muglaspor36219651:1972
3Elazigspor36216982:3769
4Adana 01361910755:3567
5Sanliurfaspor36198963:4365
6Ankaragucu36189952:4163
7Inegolspor361612867:4460
8Iskenderunspor361681250:4456
9Beyoglu Yeni Carsi361315845:3554
10Ankaraspor3613131064:5452
1124Erzincanspor361561555:4951
12Kastamonuspor361191644:5642
13Karacabey Bld.361181746:5541
14Altinordu368111733:5935
15Erbaaspor361071940:6134
16Beykoz Anadolu36862237:6630
17Kepez Bld.36582333:7823
18Karaman FK36492330:8621
19Bucaspor 192836482438:7617