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Stadium Background

Karcagi vs Ajka

Hungary Hungary

NB II. 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Tar Z.
27'
Sain Balasz C.
46'
Sub
Doncsecz L. In: Jelena R.
Out: Doncsecz L.

AI Match Summary

The NB II. 2025/2026 game between Karcagi and Ajka finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ajka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Karcagi
20%
Draws
38%
Ajka
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Karcagi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Ajka carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Karcagi a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Karcagi Clean Sheet 20%
Ajka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karcagi Ajka
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 7 2
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 0.29 1
Goals Conceded 0.86 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.29 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.86 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 NB II.
Karcagi vs Ajka
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 NB II.
Ajka vs Karcagi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karcagi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.22
Avg xA / game 0.14

Ajka Compare

Top Goalscorer Csizmadia Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karcagi 42 / 100
Ajka 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karcagi Ajka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ajka conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Ajka's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Karcagi found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Karcagi VS Ajka
0.29 Goals Scored 1
0.86 Goals Conceded 2.38
29% Over 1.5 100%
29% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Karcagi

(Home)
26 Jul
Szentlorinc SE
0 : 0
Karcagi
17 May
Kozarmisleny SE
2 : 1
Karcagi
10 May
Karcagi
0 : 1
Tiszakecske
03 May
Karcagi
0 : 1
Szentlorinc SE
26 Apr
Bekescsaba 1912
0 : 0
Karcagi
Page 1 of 6

Ajka

(Away)
25 Jul
Ajka
3 : 1
Kecskemeti TE
18 Jul
Ajka
0 : 2
Csakvari
11 Jul
Gyirmot FC Gyor
2 : 0
Ajka
08 Jul
Ajka
3 : 1
Sopron
04 Jul
Haladas
3 : 0
Ajka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vasas30204659:2664
2Honved30185749:2659
3Kecskemeti TE301631149:3951
4Kozarmisleny SE30139838:4048
5Mezokovesd-Zsory301371037:3446
6Csakvari301210843:3746
7BVSC-Zuglo301251336:3041
8Videoton301091137:3339
9Szeged-Csanad GA30991229:3436
10Tiszakecske301091137:4435
11Karcagi30981329:4135
12Ajka301031723:4033
13Soroksar30891341:4533
14Szentlorinc SE307121135:4233
15Budafoki MTE30781533:4929
16Bekescsaba 1912306101427:4228
Promotion - NB I. (Main)