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Stadium Background

Karcagi vs Budafoki MTE

Hungary Hungary

NB II. 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Varga B.
26'
Szucs K.
37' Event
Stumpf G.

AI Match Summary

The NB II. 2025/2026 game between Karcagi and Budafoki MTE finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karcagi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Karcagi
40%
Draws
29%
Budafoki MTE
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Karcagi have managed 0.5 goals a game lately — Budafoki MTE are scoring more at 1.25.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular NB II. 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Karcagi Clean Sheet 20%
Budafoki MTE Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karcagi Budafoki MTE
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 NB II.
Karcagi vs Budafoki MTE
3:2
Sep 21, 2025 NB II.
Budafoki MTE vs Karcagi
0:0
May 20, 2007 NB II - East
Karcagi vs Budafoki MTE
2:0
Oct 21, 2006 NB II - East
Budafoki MTE vs Karcagi
0:0
May 10, 2006 NB II - East
Karcagi vs Budafoki MTE
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karcagi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kohut M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fekete O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Budafoki MTE Compare

Top Goalscorer Stumpf G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bukta C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karcagi 32 / 100
Budafoki MTE 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karcagi Budafoki MTE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Budafoki MTE's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Karcagi found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Karcagi stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karcagi VS Budafoki MTE
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Karcagi

(Home)
26 Jul
Szentlorinc SE
0 : 0
Karcagi
17 May
Kozarmisleny SE
2 : 1
Karcagi
10 May
Karcagi
0 : 1
Tiszakecske
03 May
Karcagi
0 : 1
Szentlorinc SE
26 Apr
Bekescsaba 1912
0 : 0
Karcagi
Page 1 of 7

Budafoki MTE

(Away)
26 Jul
MTK Budapest II
4 : 2
Budafoki MTE
17 May
Videoton
1 : 3
Budafoki MTE
10 May
Budafoki MTE
1 : 1
BVSC-Zuglo
04 May
Vasas
3 : 2
Budafoki MTE
26 Apr
Budafoki MTE
2 : 0
Szeged-Csanad GA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vasas30204659:2664
2Honved30185749:2659
3Kecskemeti TE301631149:3951
4Kozarmisleny SE30139838:4048
5Mezokovesd-Zsory301371037:3446
6Csakvari301210843:3746
7BVSC-Zuglo301251336:3041
8Videoton301091137:3339
9Szeged-Csanad GA30991229:3436
10Tiszakecske301091137:4435
11Karcagi30981329:4135
12Ajka301031723:4033
13Soroksar30891341:4533
14Szentlorinc SE307121135:4233
15Budafoki MTE30781533:4929
16Bekescsaba 1912306101427:4228
Promotion - NB I. (Main)