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Stadium Background

Karlbergs vs FC Arlanda

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Karlbergs and FC Arlanda finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karlbergs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Karlbergs
30%
Draws
34%
FC Arlanda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Karlbergs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Arlanda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Karlbergs a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Karlbergs Clean Sheet 16%
FC Arlanda Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlbergs FC Arlanda
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FC Arlanda vs Karlbergs
1:1
Feb 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Karlbergs vs FC Arlanda
3:2
Aug 9, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Karlbergs vs FC Arlanda
1:3
Jun 19, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
FC Arlanda vs Karlbergs
0:1
Sep 10, 2023 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
Karlbergs vs FC Arlanda
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlbergs 36 / 100
FC Arlanda 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlbergs FC Arlanda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlbergs's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

FC Arlanda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Karlbergs went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karlbergs VS FC Arlanda
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlbergs

(Home)
21 Jul
Sollentuna
1 : 2
Karlbergs
24 Jun
Karlbergs
3 : 1
Pitea
18 Jun
Vasalund
0 : 4
Karlbergs
14 Jun
Karlbergs
0 : 2
Hammarby TFF
10 Jun
Unik FK
0 : 1
Karlbergs
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FC Arlanda

(Away)
27 Jun
FC Arlanda
1 : 0
Karlstad
23 Jun
FC Jarfalla
0 : 2
FC Arlanda
18 Jun
FC Arlanda
1 : 0
IFK Stocksund
13 Jun
FC Jarfalla
2 : 3
FC Arlanda
07 Jun
FC Arlanda
2 : 0
Assyriska FF
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