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Karlovac vs Dugopolje

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karlovac play Dugopolje in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Karlovac averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Dugopolje averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Karlovac won 1, Dugopolje won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 24, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Karlovac and 1.75 for Dugopolje. This points to a Dugopolje double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Karlovac
19%
Draws
52%
Dugopolje
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Dugopolje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Karlovac picked up more points recently compared to Dugopolje.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Karlovac Clean Sheet 12%
Dugopolje Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlovac Dugopolje
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Prva NL
Karlovac vs Dugopolje
0:3
Jan 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Karlovac vs Dugopolje
2:2
Nov 15, 2025 Prva NL
Dugopolje vs Karlovac
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 Prva NL
Karlovac vs Dugopolje
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlovac Compare

Top Goalscorer Regetas D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Dugopolje Compare

Top Goalscorer Basic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Balic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlovac 29 / 100
Dugopolje 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlovac Dugopolje

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dugopolje or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Karlovac attacking → ← attacking Dugopolje

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlovac scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Dugopolje let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Karlovac went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Dugopolje lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Friendly match. Both teams will likely test tactics and rotate squads rather than push for a result.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 54
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25