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Karlskrona vs Nosaby IF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Thu, Jul 30, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Karlskrona host Nosaby IF in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Karlskrona at 1.13 goals for, 1.38 against; Nosaby IF at 1.88 for, 2 against. Head-to-head, Karlskrona have won 2 to Nosaby IF's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 6, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.63, favoring Karlskrona. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Karlskrona
6%
Draws
4%
Nosaby IF
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Karlskrona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Karlskrona have won more games recently than Nosaby IF.
  • Karlskrona are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Karlskrona Clean Sheet 14%
Nosaby IF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlskrona Nosaby IF
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 6 11
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Nosaby IF vs Karlskrona
3:1
Aug 2, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Nosaby IF
1:1
May 11, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Nosaby IF vs Karlskrona
0:4
Aug 9, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Nosaby IF vs Karlskrona
1:1
Apr 14, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Nosaby IF
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlskrona 84 / 100
Nosaby IF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlskrona Nosaby IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nosaby IF let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Karlskrona found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (34 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Karlskrona remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Karlskrona VS Nosaby IF
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlskrona

(Home)
18 Jul
Karlskrona
1 : 2
Hassleholms IF
27 Jun
Osterlen FF
0 : 3
Karlskrona
18 Jun
Karlskrona
3 : 1
IFK Karlshamn
14 Jun
Linero IF
2 : 4
Karlskrona
10 Jun
Football Primetime
1 : 0
Karlskrona
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Nosaby IF

(Away)
17 Jun
Nosaby IF
3 : 3
Lilla Torg
12 Jun
Osterlen FF
2 : 1
Nosaby IF
06 Jun
Nosaby IF
3 : 1
Karlskrona
30 May
Nosaby IF
2 : 2
IFK Karlshamn
22 May
Staffanstorp United
5 : 0
Nosaby IF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Karlskrona1493228:1630
2Linero IF1481528:1925
3Oskarshamn1473427:1724
4IFK Trelleborg1365219:1123
5Vaxjo Norra1465320:1723
6IFK Berga1463527:1921
7Nosaby IF1355323:2120
8Osterlen FF1453618:2118
9Lilla Torg1446415:2018
10Staffanstorp United1445526:2617
11Solvesborgs1451822:2316
12Torns1450920:3715
13Rappe GOIF1433814:2512
14IFK Karlshamn14211114:297
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Relegation)