Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karlskrona vs Simrishamn

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Hansson S.
38' Event
Jonsson P.
40' Event
Lundqvist H.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024 game between Karlskrona and Simrishamn finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karlskrona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Karlskrona
15%
Draws
5%
Simrishamn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karlskrona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Karlskrona come out ahead of Simrishamn on wins alone.
  • Karlskrona are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Karlskrona Clean Sheet 20%
Simrishamn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlskrona Simrishamn
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 27 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 2.38 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.29 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Simrishamn
4:2
May 4, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Simrishamn vs Karlskrona
1:1
Oct 22, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Simrishamn vs Karlskrona
1:2
Jun 10, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Simrishamn
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlskrona Compare

Top Goalscorer Hansson S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jonsson P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Simrishamn Compare

Top Goalscorer Hansson F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlskrona 85 / 100
Simrishamn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlskrona Simrishamn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlskrona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlskrona scored in 86% of their last 42 games.

Defensive concern: Simrishamn conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Karlskrona stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karlskrona VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlskrona

(Home)
06 Sept
Staffanstorp United
0 : 2
Karlskrona
30 Aug
Karlskrona
4 : 1
IFK Berga
22 Aug
Karlskrona
5 : 0
Vaxjo Norra
15 Aug
Lilla Torg
1 : 4
Karlskrona
08 Aug
Karlskrona
5 : 0
Torns
Page 1 of 9

Simrishamn

(Away)
28 Feb
Kristianstad
6 : 0
Simrishamn
01 Nov
Simrishamn
3 : 3
Solveborgs GOIF
26 Oct
Solveborgs GOIF
1 : 0
Simrishamn
19 Oct
IFK Trelleborg
3 : 0
Simrishamn
12 Oct
Simrishamn
1 : 2
IFK Hassleholm
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hassleholms IF 26 18 7 1 51:16 61
2 Kristianstad 26 16 6 4 58:28 54
3 Osterlen FF 26 14 3 9 50:45 45
4 Karlskrona 26 12 6 8 52:40 42
5 IFK Karlshamn 26 12 4 10 44:48 40
6 IFK Trelleborg 26 10 7 9 55:44 37
7 Hogaborgs 26 12 1 13 40:40 37
8 Rappe GOIF 26 9 8 9 33:35 35
9 Balkan 26 10 2 14 35:38 32
10 IFK Hassleholm 26 8 5 13 29:40 29
11 Nosaby IF 26 7 5 14 28:43 26
12 Simrishamn 26 7 5 14 33:56 26
13 Lodde 26 6 6 14 32:49 24
14 IFK Berga 26 7 3 16 34:52 24
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024 (Relegation)