Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karlstad vs Skovde

World World

Club Friendly Sola Arena, Karlstad
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Miguel W.
33' Event
Skillermo E.
65' Event
Agerborn M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Karlstad and Skovde finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Skovde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Karlstad
35%
Draws
45%
Skovde
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Skovde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Skovde haven't matched Karlstad's recent run of results.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Karlstad Clean Sheet 14%
Skovde Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlstad Skovde
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.59 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Karlstad vs Skovde
1:3
Mar 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Karlstad vs Skovde
4:0
Mar 18, 2023 Club Friendly
Skovde vs Karlstad
1:1
Feb 13, 2022 Club Friendly
Skovde vs Karlstad
0:0
Mar 17, 2018 Club Friendly
Skovde vs Karlstad
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Miguel W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Skovde Compare

Top Goalscorer Skillermo E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agerborn M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlstad 35 / 100
Skovde 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlstad Skovde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skovde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skovde's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Karlstad found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Karlstad went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karlstad VS Skovde
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Karlstad

(Home)
19 Sept
Enkopings SK
2 : 2
Karlstad
16 Sept
Karlstad
0 : 0
FBK Karlstad
12 Sept
IFK Stocksund
2 : 1
Karlstad
05 Sept
Karlstad
1 : 2
AFC Eskilstuna
29 Aug
Gefle
2 : 2
Karlstad
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Skovde

(Away)
21 Sept
Jonkoping
3 : 2
Skovde
17 Sept
Skovde
1 : 3
Trollhattan
12 Sept
Angelholm
0 : 3
Skovde
06 Sept
Skovde
2 : 1
Trelleborg
29 Aug
Tvaaker
1 : 1
Skovde
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