Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Karlstad vs Skovde

World World

Club Friendly Sola Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Miguel W.
33' Event
Skillermo E.
65' Event
Agerborn M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Karlstad and Skovde finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Skovde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Karlstad
6%
Draws
4%
Skovde
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Karlstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Skovde haven't matched Karlstad's recent run of results.
  • Karlstad are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Karlstad Clean Sheet 20%
Skovde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karlstad Skovde
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.25 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Karlstad vs Skovde
1:3
Mar 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Karlstad vs Skovde
4:0
Mar 18, 2023 Club Friendly
Skovde vs Karlstad
1:1
Feb 13, 2022 Club Friendly
Skovde vs Karlstad
0:0
Mar 17, 2018 Club Friendly
Skovde vs Karlstad
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Karlstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Miguel W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Skovde Compare

Top Goalscorer Skillermo E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agerborn M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karlstad 85 / 100
Skovde 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karlstad Skovde

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlstad's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Skovde conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Karlstad went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Karlstad VS Skovde
2 Goals Scored 1.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%