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Karnobat vs Borislav Parvomay

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Third League - South-East 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Karnobat
15%
Draws
85%
Borislav Parvomay
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Borislav Parvomay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Borislav Parvomay have won more games recently than Karnobat.
  • Borislav Parvomay are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Karnobat Clean Sheet 10%
Borislav Parvomay Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karnobat Borislav Parvomay
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 1 4
Draws 2 5
Losses 29 21
Goals Scored 0.31 0.93
Goals Conceded 3.16 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2023 Third League - South-East
Karnobat vs Borislav Parvomay
3:3
Nov 19, 2022 Third League - South-East
Borislav Parvomay vs Karnobat
1:0
Mar 19, 2022 Third League - South-East
Karnobat vs Borislav Parvomay
2:0
Sep 4, 2021 Third League - South-East
Borislav Parvomay vs Karnobat
4:2
Apr 17, 2021 Third League - South-East
Borislav Parvomay vs Karnobat
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karnobat 10 / 100
Borislav Parvomay 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karnobat Borislav Parvomay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Borislav Parvomay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Borislav Parvomay conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Away concern: Borislav Parvomay has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Karnobat scored in 22% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Karnobat VS -
0 Goals Scored 0
3.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Karnobat

(Home)
31 May
Maritsa Milevo
3 : 0
Karnobat
24 May
Karnobat
0 : 3
Dimitrovgrad
17 May
Karnobat
0 : 3
OFC Haskovo
14 May
Yambol 1915
3 : 0
Karnobat
10 May
Karnobat
0 : 3
Spartak Plovdiv
Page 1 of 7

Borislav Parvomay

(Away)
31 May
Borislav Parvomay
0 : 4
Zagorets
27 May
Karnobat
3 : 3
Borislav Parvomay
20 May
Borislav Parvomay
0 : 1
Rozova Dolina
13 May
Vereya
4 : 3
Borislav Parvomay
10 May
Borislav Parvomay
0 : 1
Atletik Kuklen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 38 26 5 7 84:32 83
2 Chernomorets 1919 38 24 8 6 82:26 80
3 Gigant Saedinenie 38 23 9 6 69:28 78
4 Zagorets 38 22 10 6 64:19 76
5 OFC Haskovo 38 20 9 9 68:36 69
6 Rozova Dolina 38 20 8 10 66:29 68
7 Spartak Plovdiv 38 19 8 11 73:43 65
8 Asenovets 38 19 7 12 69:41 64
9 Lok. Plovdiv II 38 20 4 14 57:33 64
10 Yambol 1915 38 16 9 13 57:48 57
11 Rodopa Smolyan 38 16 7 15 51:48 55
12 Dimitrovgrad 38 16 4 18 52:54 52
13 Sokol Markovo 38 15 3 20 54:58 48
14 Levski Karlovo 38 12 6 20 45:69 42
15 Karnobat 38 11 8 19 37:57 41
16 Beroe II 38 11 4 23 45:74 37
17 Atletik Kuklen 38 11 3 24 37:83 36
18 Sliven 38 10 6 22 58:93 36
19 Borislav Parvomay 38 5 6 27 34:92 21
20 Vereya 38 2 0 36 24:163 6
Promotion - Vtora liga 2023/2024 (Main)