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Karnobat vs Borislav Parvomay

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Third League - South-East 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Karnobat
6%
Draws
90%
Borislav Parvomay
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Borislav Parvomay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Borislav Parvomay have won more games recently than Karnobat.
  • Borislav Parvomay are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Karnobat Clean Sheet 10%
Borislav Parvomay Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Karnobat Borislav Parvomay
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 3 4
Draws 2 5
Losses 31 21
Goals Scored 0 0
Goals Conceded 3.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2023 Third League - South-East
Karnobat vs Borislav Parvomay
3:3
Nov 19, 2022 Third League - South-East
Borislav Parvomay vs Karnobat
1:0
Mar 19, 2022 Third League - South-East
Karnobat vs Borislav Parvomay
2:0
Sep 4, 2021 Third League - South-East
Borislav Parvomay vs Karnobat
4:2
Apr 17, 2021 Third League - South-East
Borislav Parvomay vs Karnobat
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Karnobat 10 / 100
Borislav Parvomay 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Karnobat Borislav Parvomay

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Borislav Parvomay conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Away concern: Borislav Parvomay has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Karnobat scored in 28% of their last 36 games.

Scoring Trends

Karnobat VS -
0 Goals Scored 0
3.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nesebar38265784:3283
2Chernomorets 191938248682:2680
3Gigant Saedinenie38239669:2878
4Zagorets382210664:1976
5OFC Haskovo38209968:3669
6Rozova Dolina382081066:2968
7Spartak Plovdiv381981173:4365
8Asenovets381971269:4164
9Lok. Plovdiv II382041457:3364
10Yambol 1915381691357:4857
11Rodopa Smolyan381671551:4855
12Dimitrovgrad381641852:5452
13Sokol Markovo381532054:5848
14Levski Karlovo381262045:6942
15Karnobat381181937:5741
16Beroe II381142345:7437
17Atletik Kuklen381132437:8336
18Sliven381062258:9336
19Borislav Parvomay38562734:9221
20Vereya38203624:1636