Sport Picks
Karnobat vs Chernomorets Burgas Sofia Prediction & H2H Stats
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East 2015/2016 
AI Match Summary
Karnobat in this Third League - South-East 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 7-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karnobat.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Chernomorets Burgas Sofia lately — more wins on the board than Karnobat.
- Chernomorets Burgas Sofia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Karnobat Clean Sheet 14%
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Karnobat | Chernomorets Burgas Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 28 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 0.45 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.16 | 3.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 15, 2016 Third League - South-East
Karnobat vs Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
7:1
Oct 4, 2015 Third League - South-East
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia vs Karnobat
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Karnobat 10 / 100
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Karnobat Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chernomorets Burgas Sofia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Chernomorets Burgas Sofia lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Karnobat scored in 23% of their last 31 outings.
Scoring Trends
Karnobat VS Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
0 Goals Scored 0.25
3 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Karnobat
(Home) 31 May
Maritsa Milevo
3 : 0 Karnobat
24 May
Karnobat
0 : 3 Dimitrovgrad
17 May
Karnobat
0 : 3 OFC Haskovo
14 May
Yambol 1915
3 : 0 Karnobat
10 May
Karnobat
0 : 3 Spartak Plovdiv
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24 May
Karnobat
0 : 3 Dimitrovgrad
17 May
Karnobat
0 : 3 OFC Haskovo
10 May
Karnobat
0 : 3 Spartak Plovdiv
30 Apr
Karnobat
0 : 3 Asenovets
17 Apr
Karnobat
0 : 3 Rodopa Smolyan
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Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
(Away) 08 Jul
Ludogorets II
2 : 0 Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
13 Jul
Gorna
1 : 0 Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
09 Jul
Cherno More
2 : 0 Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
28 Jun
Dobrudzha
3 : 1 Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
20 Jul
Sozopol
0 : 2 Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
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08 Jul
Ludogorets II
2 : 0 Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
13 Jul
Gorna
1 : 0 Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
09 Jul
Cherno More
2 : 0 Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
28 Jun
Dobrudzha
3 : 1 Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
20 Jul
Sozopol
0 : 2 Chernomorets Burgas Sofia
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nesebar | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 88:20 | 90 |
| 2 | Rozova Dolina | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 81:30 | 76 |
| 3 | Zagorets | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 64:20 | 72 |
| 4 | Uragan Boyadzhik | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 93:45 | 64 |
| 5 | Dimitrovgrad | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 61:38 | 62 |
| 6 | Gigant Saedinenie | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 67:58 | 58 |
| 7 | Svilengrad 1921 | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 72:53 | 56 |
| 8 | Asenovets | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 57:46 | 53 |
| 9 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:29 | 51 |
| 10 | Evrokolezh | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 69:74 | 46 |
| 11 | Karnobat | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 56:56 | 43 |
| 12 | Spartak Plovdiv | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 36:38 | 42 |
| 13 | Levski Karlovo | 34 | 11 | 2 | 21 | 43:75 | 35 |
| 14 | Rakovski 2011 | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 45:68 | 34 |
| 15 | Borislav Parvomay | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 34:59 | 29 |
| 16 | Radnevo | 34 | 8 | 3 | 23 | 32:84 | 27 |
| 17 | Chernomorets Burgas Sofia | 34 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 42:100 | 22 |
| 18 | Sliven | 34 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 20:112 | 10 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2016/2017 (Main)
