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Katwijk vs ACV Assen

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark De Krom, Katwijk
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Tahiri M.
Assist: Sinteur B.
39' Event
Janmaat F.
45' Event
Mulder J.

AI Match Summary

The Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 game between Katwijk and ACV Assen finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Katwijk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Katwijk
20%
Draws
52%
ACV Assen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ACV Assen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Katwijk have managed 1.84 goals a game lately — ACV Assen are scoring more at 2.04.
  • Win probability leans ACV Assen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Katwijk Clean Sheet 10%
ACV Assen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Katwijk ACV Assen
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.84 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Katwijk vs ACV Assen
3:2
Nov 22, 2025 Tweede Divisie
ACV Assen vs Katwijk
3:3
May 17, 2025 Tweede Divisie
ACV Assen vs Katwijk
5:1
Dec 7, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Katwijk vs ACV Assen
2:2
May 18, 2024 Tweede Divisie
ACV Assen vs Katwijk
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Katwijk Compare

Top Goalscorer Tahiri M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Janmaat F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

ACV Assen Compare

Top Goalscorer Mulder J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lemmen T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Katwijk 10 / 100
ACV Assen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Katwijk ACV Assen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ACV Assen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Katwijk found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

ACV Assen let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Katwijk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Katwijk VS ACV Assen
1.5 Goals Scored 3.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Katwijk

(Home)
19 Sept
Katwijk
1 : 2
De Treffers
12 Sept
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2
Katwijk
05 Sept
Katwijk
3 : 2
Jong Almere City
02 Sept
TOGB
3 : 2
Katwijk
29 Aug
Barendrecht
0 : 2
Katwijk
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ACV Assen

(Away)
19 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3
ACV Assen
12 Sept
ACV Assen
5 : 1
Eemdijk
05 Sept
USV Hercules
0 : 3
ACV Assen
02 Sept
ACV Assen
6 : 1
Westlandia
29 Aug
ACV Assen
1 : 1
DVS '33 Ermelo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quick Boys 34 19 10 5 69:35 66
2 De Treffers 34 18 9 7 64:37 63
3 HSV Hoek 34 19 6 9 60:37 63
4 Rijnsburgse Boys 34 16 8 10 76:55 56
5 Hardenberg 34 17 5 12 58:44 56
6 Spakenburg 34 16 8 10 72:60 56
7 Katwijk 34 15 7 12 60:55 52
8 Jong Almere City 34 15 5 14 70:62 50
9 Kozakken Boys 34 13 8 13 47:55 47
10 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 9 13 71:73 45
11 AFC 34 12 9 13 46:54 45
12 Barendrecht 34 13 4 17 62:84 43
13 RKAV Volendam 34 13 3 18 50:62 42
14 GVVV 34 12 6 16 52:67 42
15 Koninklijke HFC 34 12 3 19 33:49 39
16 IJsselmeervogels 34 9 4 21 46:65 31
17 Excelsior Maassluis 34 8 7 19 39:58 31
18 ACV Assen 34 7 9 18 48:71 30
Relegation - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)