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Kawasaki Frontale vs Verdy Prediction & H2H Stats

Japan Japan

J1 League 2026 Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium, Kawasaki
Kawasaki Frontale Logo

Kawasaki Frontale

1 - 0
FT
Verdy Logo

Verdy

Our Tip

Match Events

61'
Sub
Teranuma S. In: Someno I.
Out: Teranuma S.
61'
Sub
Arai Y. In: Kumatoriya I.
Out: Arai Y.
61'
Sub
Shirai R. In: Matsuhashi Y.
Out: Shirai R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J1 League 2026 game between Kawasaki Frontale and Verdy finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kawasaki Frontale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Kawasaki Frontale
30%
Draws
23%
Verdy
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kawasaki Frontale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Kawasaki Frontale carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Kawasaki Frontale are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular J1 League 2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Kawasaki Frontale Clean Sheet 68%
Verdy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kawasaki Frontale Verdy
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.41 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 J1 League
Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale
1:1
May 6, 2026 J1 League
Kawasaki Frontale vs Verdy
1:0
Mar 18, 2026 J1 League
Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale
0:2
Jun 29, 2025 J1 League
Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale
1:0
Apr 20, 2025 J1 League
Kawasaki Frontale vs Verdy
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kawasaki Frontale Compare

Top Goalscorer Wakizaka Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Verdy Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kawasaki Frontale 77 / 100
Verdy 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kawasaki Frontale Verdy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kawasaki Frontale Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kawasaki Frontale scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Verdy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Kawasaki Frontale went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Kawasaki Frontale VS Verdy
2.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kawasaki Frontale

(Home)
29 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 1
Kawasaki Frontale
19 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 3
Kashima Antlers
12 Sept
Mito
0 : 1
Kawasaki Frontale
06 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 1
Shimizu S-Pulse
02 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1
Kawasaki Frontale
Page 1 of 6

Verdy

(Away)
29 Sept
Sagan Tosu
2 : 1
Verdy
19 Sept
Urawa Reds
3 : 1
Verdy
13 Sept
Verdy
1 : 1
Chiba
09 Sept
Reilac Shiga
0 : 1
Verdy
06 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0
Verdy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 18 15 0 3 31:11 45
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 32:18 37
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 28:22 37
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 26:28 28
5 Verdy 18 10 0 8 22:26 28
6 Urawa Reds 18 7 0 11 25:22 25
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 28:31 20
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 22:24 20
9 Mito 18 6 0 12 23:39 18
10 Chiba 18 3 0 15 18:34 12
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 29:25 35
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 30:21 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 33:31 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 31:23 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 31:25 28
6 Okayama 18 8 0 10 26:29 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 8 0 10 23:25 24
8 Kyoto 18 8 0 10 22:28 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 21:29 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 21:31 21
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)