Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kawkab Marrakech vs Raja Casablanca

Morocco Morocco

Botola Pro 2025/2026 Stade de Marrakech, Marrakech
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Raiani Y.
46'
Sub
Mokadem I. In: Khammas A.
Out: Mokadem I.
54'
Barkok A.

AI Match Summary

Kawkab Marrakech in this Botola Pro 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kawkab Marrakech.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Kawkab Marrakech
35%
Draws
41%
Raja Casablanca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Raja Casablanca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Raja Casablanca lately — more wins on the board than Kawkab Marrakech.
  • Raja Casablanca are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Botola Pro 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Raja Casablanca here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Kawkab Marrakech Clean Sheet 21%
Raja Casablanca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kawkab Marrakech Raja Casablanca
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 12 8
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Botola Pro
Kawkab Marrakech vs Raja Casablanca
2:0
Nov 4, 2025 Botola Pro
Raja Casablanca vs Kawkab Marrakech
1:0
Apr 3, 2019 Botola Pro
Kawkab Marrakech vs Raja Casablanca
1:2
Nov 11, 2018 Botola Pro
Raja Casablanca vs Kawkab Marrakech
2:0
Feb 25, 2018 Botola Pro
Kawkab Marrakech vs Raja Casablanca
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kawkab Marrakech Compare

Top Goalscorer Essallami S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Raja Casablanca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kawkab Marrakech 20 / 100
Raja Casablanca 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kawkab Marrakech Raja Casablanca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Raja Casablanca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kawkab Marrakech scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Kawkab Marrakech went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Raja Casablanca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kawkab Marrakech VS Raja Casablanca
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kawkab Marrakech

(Home)
05 Jul
Hassania Agadir
1 : 1
Kawkab Marrakech
02 Jul
Kawkab Marrakech
0 : 0
Maghreb Fez
28 Jun
Difaa El Jadidi
1 : 1
Kawkab Marrakech
25 Jun
Kawkab Marrakech
2 : 0
FUS Rabat
21 Jun
FAR Rabat
2 : 0
Kawkab Marrakech
Page 1 of 6

Raja Casablanca

(Away)
05 Jul
Olympique de Safi
0 : 2
Raja Casablanca
02 Jul
Raja Casablanca
2 : 0
Hassania Agadir
28 Jun
IR Tanger
1 : 1
Raja Casablanca
25 Jun
Yacoub El Mansour
2 : 1
Raja Casablanca
21 Jun
Raja Casablanca
2 : 1
COD Meknes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maghreb Fez 30 16 11 3 40:17 59
2 Berkane 30 16 9 5 44:27 57
3 Raja Casablanca 30 16 8 6 39:19 56
4 FAR Rabat 30 13 16 1 45:22 55
5 Wydad Athletic 30 13 4 13 39:33 43
6 Difaa El Jadidi 30 9 13 8 30:34 40
7 IR Tanger 30 9 12 9 27:31 39
8 FUS Rabat 30 9 10 11 31:36 37
9 Kawkab Marrakech 30 8 12 10 27:26 36
10 COD Meknes 30 9 9 12 24:33 36
11 Renaissance Zemamra 30 8 9 13 28:37 33
12 Hassania Agadir 30 8 9 13 27:39 33
13 Union Touarga 30 6 13 11 32:40 31
14 Dcheira 30 7 9 14 29:40 30
15 Yacoub El Mansour 30 7 9 14 34:44 30
16 Olympique de Safi 30 3 13 14 24:42 22
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Botola Pro 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 2026/2027 (Main)