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Kaya FC vs Philippine Air Force

Philippines Philippines

Copa Paulino Alcantara Rizal Memorial Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kaya FC play Philippine Air Force in the Copa Paulino Alcantara. Kaya FC are favorites here. Recently, Kaya FC averaged 3.42 goals scored and 0.92 conceded. Philippine Air Force averaged 1.2 goals scored and 3.57 conceded. In past meetings, Kaya FC won 5, Philippine Air Force won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 8, 2024 ended 9:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.42 for Kaya FC and 1.19 for Philippine Air Force. This points to a Kaya FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Kaya FC
15%
Draws
16%
Philippine Air Force
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaya FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kaya FC picked up more points recently compared to Philippine Air Force.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.42 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Kaya FC Clean Sheet 20%
Philippine Air Force Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaya FC Philippine Air Force
Matches Played 48 30
Wins 32 6
Draws 3 2
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 3.42 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.92 3.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2024 PFL
Kaya FC vs Philippine Air Force
9:0
Aug 26, 2023 Copa Paulino Alcantara
Kaya FC vs Philippine Air Force
9:1
Oct 26, 2019 Copa Paulino Alcantara
Kaya FC vs Philippine Air Force
5:0
Sep 25, 2019 PFL
Kaya FC vs Philippine Air Force
5:0
Sep 22, 2019 PFL
Philippine Air Force vs Kaya FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaya FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Horikoshi D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sy A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.81

Philippine Air Force Compare

Top Goalscorer Delariarte J. B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaya FC 66 / 100
Philippine Air Force 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaya FC Philippine Air Force

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaya FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Kaya FC & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.2%
1.64
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kaya FC attacking → ← attacking Philippine Air Force

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaya FC scored in 79% of their last 48 games.

Philippine Air Force let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.40 goals.

Kaya FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Philippine Air Force lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

99 Points in last 5 20
3.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kaya FC550040:215
2CF Manila53119:1210
3Philippine Air Force52128:147
4FEU Tamaraws513110:106
5Loyola51138:154
6Don Bosco Garelli50053:250
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cebu FC440016:312
2Maharlika Manila42115:37
3University Of The Philippines42026:56
4Pilipinas Dragons41033:123
5Manila Digger40133:101
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Stallion540128:412
2Davao Aguilas531114:1010
3Mendiola FC 1991523010:89
4Tuloy521211:207
5Philippine Army51049:153
6Adamson University50143:181