Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kazakhstan vs Slovenia

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Chesnokov I.
30'
Bystrov M.
42'
Ilicic J.

AI Match Summary

Slovenia in this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Slovenia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Kazakhstan
30%
Draws
29%
Slovenia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kazakhstan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Slovenia have won more games recently than Kazakhstan.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Kazakhstan taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Slovenia here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Kazakhstan Clean Sheet 68%
Slovenia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kazakhstan Slovenia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 4 13
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Kazakhstan vs Slovenia
0:1
Sep 9, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Slovenia vs Kazakhstan
3:0
Nov 20, 2023 Euro
Slovenia vs Kazakhstan
2:1
Mar 23, 2023 Euro
Kazakhstan vs Slovenia
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kazakhstan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Slovenia Compare

Top Goalscorer Mlakar J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kazakhstan 59 / 100
Slovenia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kazakhstan Slovenia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kazakhstan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Slovenia conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Kazakhstan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Kazakhstan scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kazakhstan VS Slovenia
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kazakhstan

(Home)
09 Jun
Hungary
3 : 1
Kazakhstan
06 Jun
Armenia
1 : 1
Kazakhstan
31 Mar
Kazakhstan
1 : 0
Comoros
25 Mar
Kazakhstan
2 : 0
Namibia
18 Nov
Faroe Islands
1 : 0
Kazakhstan
Page 1 of 6

Slovenia

(Away)
07 Jun
Croatia
2 : 1
Slovenia
04 Jun
Slovenia
1 : 1
Cyprus
31 Mar
Montenegro
2 : 3
Slovenia
28 Mar
Hungary
1 : 0
Slovenia
18 Nov
Sweden
1 : 1
Slovenia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Czech Republic 6 3 2 1 9:8 11
2 Ukraine 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
3 Georgia 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
4 Albania 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Greece 6 5 0 1 11:4 15
3 Ireland 6 2 0 4 3:12 6
4 Finland 6 0 0 6 2:13 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 6 4 1 1 15:7 13
2 Austria 6 3 2 1 14:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
4 Kazakhstan 6 0 1 5 0:15 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wales 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
2 Turkey 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 10:13 7
4 Montenegro 6 1 0 5 4:9 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)