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Stadium Background

Keciorengucu vs Erzurumspor FK

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Aktepe Stadium, Ankara
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Bulut H.
Assist: Roshi O.
32'
Baiye B.
42'
Bulut H.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig 2025/2026 game between Keciorengucu and Erzurumspor FK finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erzurumspor FK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Keciorengucu
20%
Draws
38%
Erzurumspor FK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Keciorengucu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Keciorengucu haven't matched Erzurumspor FK's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Keciorengucu's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular 1. Lig 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Erzurumspor FK have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Keciorengucu Clean Sheet 20%
Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keciorengucu Erzurumspor FK
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 23
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Turkish Cup
Erzurumspor FK vs Keciorengucu
4:2
Feb 18, 2026 1. Lig
Keciorengucu vs Erzurumspor FK
1:2
Sep 24, 2025 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Keciorengucu
1:1
Mar 10, 2025 1. Lig
Keciorengucu vs Erzurumspor FK
1:3
Oct 27, 2024 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Keciorengucu
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keciorengucu Compare

Top Goalscorer Bulut H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Erzurumspor FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Sylla C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keciorengucu 42 / 100
Erzurumspor FK 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keciorengucu Erzurumspor FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Keciorengucu scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Keciorengucu has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Erzurumspor FK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 44% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Keciorengucu VS Erzurumspor FK
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Keciorengucu

(Home)
07 May
Corum FK
1 : 0
Keciorengucu
02 May
Umraniyespor
1 : 4
Keciorengucu
26 Apr
Keciorengucu
2 : 1
Manisa FK
19 Apr
Erokspor
1 : 0
Keciorengucu
12 Apr
Keciorengucu
0 : 0
Serik Spor
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Erzurumspor FK

(Away)
17 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 0
Rizespor
02 May
Corum FK
1 : 1
Erzurumspor FK
26 Apr
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 1
Bandirmaspor
19 Apr
Bodrumspor
1 : 1
Erzurumspor FK
13 Apr
Erzurumspor FK
2 : 0
Boluspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erzurumspor FK382312382:2781
2Amedspor382111681:4274
3Erokspor382111681:3574
4Corum FK38218963:3971
5Bodrumspor3818101071:3964
6Pendikspor381615758:3363
7Keciorengucu3816121073:4360
8Bandirmaspor3816121047:3460
9Manisa FK381671557:5655
10Sivasspor3814111347:4353
11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:5552
12Sariyer381571644:4452
13Igdir FK3813111452:5450
14Vanspor FK3813101552:4749
15Boluspor381461861:5748
16Umraniyespor381371847:5146
17Serik Spor381162144:7539
18Sakaryaspor388102045:7234
19Hatayspor38282833:10214
20Adanademirspor38133422:169-54
Promotion - Super Lig (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)