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Keflavik vs Fram

Iceland Iceland

League Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Thordarson M.
20' Event
Valsson D.
51' Event
Sigurdsson F.

AI Match Summary

The League Cup game between Keflavik and Fram finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Keflavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Keflavik
44%
Draws
20%
Fram
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fram come out ahead of Keflavik on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal League Cup game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.4%
Keflavik Clean Sheet 10%
Fram Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keflavik Fram
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2026 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Fram
1:1
Apr 17, 2026 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Keflavik
3:1
Mar 6, 2026 League Cup
Keflavik vs Fram
4:3
Sep 28, 2023 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Keflavik
3:1
Aug 27, 2023 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Fram
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keflavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Aronsson D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Valsson D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Fram Compare

Top Goalscorer Thordarson M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sigurdsson F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keflavik 34 / 100
Fram 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keflavik Fram

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keflavik scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Fram conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Keflavik stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Keflavik VS Fram
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stjarnan541017:613
2Keflavik531113:1010
3Kopavogur531110:1210
4Fram520317:116
5Vestri511310:144
6Aegir50053:170
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Thor Akureyri431014:310
2Akranes42117:57
3Valur42028:76
4Afturelding42024:106
5Grotta40042:100
6Volsungur00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1KR Reykjavik531116:610
2Vikingur Reykjavik53116:310
3Njardvik52218:98
4IR Reykjavik521211:137
5KA Akureyri51135:74
6Grindavik50235:132
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fylkir540113:512
2Throttur430111:89
3Leiknir Reykjavik52037:136
4Hafnarfjordur51138:64
5IBV Vestmannaeyjar31115:54
6Breidablik41033:103