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Keflavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Keflavíkurvöllur
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Sub
Thorkelsson R. In: Ekroth O.
Out: Thorkelsson R.
20' Event
Vatnhamar G.
Assist: Andrason V.
32' Event
Brigic M.
Assist: Mudrazija M.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between Keflavik and Vikingur Reykjavik finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vikingur Reykjavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Keflavik
40%
Draws
29%
Vikingur Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Vikingur Reykjavik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vikingur Reykjavik here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Keflavik Clean Sheet 10%
Vikingur Reykjavik Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Keflavik Vikingur Reykjavik
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 24
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 2
Goals Scored 1 3
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik
1:3
Jul 8, 2023 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik
3:3
May 4, 2023 Besta deild karla
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik
4:1
Sep 11, 2022 Besta deild karla
Keflavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik
0:3
Apr 28, 2022 Besta deild karla
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Keflavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Brigic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Vikingur Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Vatnhamar G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ingimundarson V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Keflavik 30 / 100
Vikingur Reykjavik 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Keflavik Vikingur Reykjavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Keflavik scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Keflavik has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Vikingur Reykjavik let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Keflavik VS Vikingur Reykjavik
1 Goals Scored 3
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik14131048:940
2KR Reykjavik15102353:3632
3Fram1493238:2630
4Breidablik1474334:2625
5Valur1561824:2919
6Keflavik1444619:2616
7Stjarnan1443728:3115
8IBV Vestmannaeyjar1443724:3115
9Akranes1443719:2815
10KA Akureyri1441922:3013
11Hafnarfjordur1425720:3111
12Thor Akureyri14221015:418