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Kehlen vs Progres Niedercorn

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2020/2021
Kehlen Logo

Kehlen

0 - 2
FT
Progres Niedercorn Logo

Progres Niedercorn

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Progres Niedercorn advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Kehlen
15%
Draws
65%
Progres Niedercorn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progres Niedercorn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Progres Niedercorn carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Progres Niedercorn taking it.
  • Progres Niedercorn arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Progres Niedercorn, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Kehlen Clean Sheet 20%
Progres Niedercorn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kehlen Progres Niedercorn
Matches Played 18 32
Wins 5 13
Draws 0 5
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.11 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.61 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2020 Luxembourg Cup
Kehlen vs Progres Niedercorn
0:2
Dec 8, 2019 Luxembourg Cup
Kehlen vs Progres Niedercorn
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kehlen 10 / 100
Progres Niedercorn 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kehlen Progres Niedercorn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progres Niedercorn Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Progres Niedercorn conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Kehlen scored in 56% of their last 18 outings.

Kehlen has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Progres Niedercorn
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kehlen

(Home)
21 Sept
Kehlen
2 : 3
Ettelbruck
01 Oct
Kehlen
2 : 3
FC Rodange 91
02 Oct
Kehlen
0 : 6
Fola
31 Oct
Kehlen
0 : 4
Ettelbruck
03 Oct
Kehlen
1 : 0
Berdenia Berbourg
Page 1 of 4

Progres Niedercorn

(Away)
20 Sept
FC Kopstal 33
0 : 7
Progres Niedercorn
16 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 0
Racing Luxembourg
12 Sept
Wiltz
1 : 2
Progres Niedercorn
06 Sept
Progres Niedercorn
3 : 0
Rumelange
30 Aug
Mondorf
2 : 1
Progres Niedercorn
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Union Titus Petange 2
Jeunesse Gilsdorf 1
Ettelbruck 2
Racing Troisvierges 0
Racing Luxembourg 11
FC Schengen 1
Differdange 5
FC Ehlerange 4
Berdenia Berbourg 3
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette 0
Jeunesse Canach 4
Syra Mensdorf 1
FC Mamer 0
FF Norden 1
Luxembourg City 2
Avenir Beggen 3
Mondercange 2
Pratzerthal/Redange 0
Fola 4
Echternach 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 3
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz 0
Rumelange 10
FC Munsbach 2
Alisontia Steinsel 4
Mertzig 0
Dudelange 5
Oberkorn 2
Esch 1
US Feulen 0
Hostert 1
Grevenmacher 2
Kaerjeng 3
Blo Weiss Itzig 0
Hesperange 4
Erpeldange 1
Schifflange 3
Harlange/Tarchamps 0
Wiltz 8
CS Sanem 2
Bettembourg 0
AS Wincrange 0
FC Rodange 91 2
Lorentzweiler 2
FC Marisca Mersch 0
Diekirch 0
Mondorf 6
FC Koerich/Simmern 2
Bissen 4
FC Noertzange HF 0
Jeunesse Esch 6
Steinfort 1
Jeunesse Junglinster 3
Union Tetange 3
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 4
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 -
Blo Weiss Medernach -
Kehlen 0
Progres Niedercorn 2
AS Luxembourg/Porto 2
Victoria Rosport 5
Cebra 2
UNA Strassen 3
1/16-finals
Union Titus Petange -
Ettelbruck -
Racing Luxembourg -
Differdange -
FC Ehlerange -
Jeunesse Canach -
Syra Mensdorf -
Luxembourg City -
Avenir Beggen -
Fola -
Mertert/Wasserbillig -
Rumelange -
Alisontia Steinsel -
Dudelange -
Oberkorn -
Hostert -
Kaerjeng -
Hesperange -
Schifflange -
Wiltz -
CS Sanem -
FC Rodange 91 -
Lorentzweiler -
Mondorf -
Bissen -
Jeunesse Esch -
Jeunesse Junglinster -
FC Yellow Boys Weiler -
TBD -
Progres Niedercorn -
Victoria Rosport -
UNA Strassen -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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