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Kek-U vs Trepca Mitrovice

Kosovo Kosovo

Liga e Pare 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Liga e Pare 2025/2026 game between Kek-U and Trepca Mitrovice finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trepca Mitrovice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Kek-U
30%
Draws
58%
Trepca Mitrovice
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Trepca Mitrovice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Trepca Mitrovice carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga e Pare 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Kek-U Clean Sheet 20%
Trepca Mitrovice Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kek-U Trepca Mitrovice
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 2 5
Draws 9 5
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 0.72 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Liga e Pare
Kek-U vs Trepca Mitrovice
1:3
Oct 26, 2025 Liga e Pare
Trepca Mitrovice vs Kek-U
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kek-U 36 / 100
Trepca Mitrovice 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kek-U Trepca Mitrovice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trepca Mitrovice Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trepca Mitrovice let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Kek-U found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Kek-U remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kek-U VS Trepca Mitrovice
1.14 Goals Scored 1.13
2.57 Goals Conceded 2.38
86% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 88%
57% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kek-U

(Home)
16 May
Kek-U
2 : 3
Vellaznimi
09 May
Ramiz Sadiku
4 : 2
Kek-U
02 May
Kek-U
1 : 3
Trepca Mitrovice
26 Apr
Prizreni
5 : 1
Kek-U
18 Apr
Kek-U
1 : 1
Istogu
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Trepca Mitrovice

(Away)
11 Sept
KF Lepenci
0 : 0
Trepca Mitrovice
06 Sept
Trepca Mitrovice
0 : 0
Kika
30 Aug
Trepca Mitrovice
1 : 2
Rilindja
23 Aug
Dinamo Ferizaj
5 : 0
Trepca Mitrovice
16 Aug
Trepca Mitrovice
3 : 1
Mitrovica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vushtrria 34 22 9 3 62:26 75
2 Feronikeli 34 22 8 4 59:22 74
3 Liria 34 21 8 5 60:29 71
4 Dinamo Ferizaj 34 22 5 7 61:39 71
5 Trepca 89 34 20 10 4 72:33 70
6 Vellaznimi 34 21 7 6 58:32 70
7 Ramiz Sadiku 34 14 8 12 39:29 50
8 Suhareka 34 13 5 16 60:61 44
9 Tefik Canga 34 12 4 18 48:54 40
10 2 Korriku 34 11 6 17 52:64 39
11 Besa Peja 33 9 8 16 39:52 35
12 Vjosa 34 9 8 17 39:61 35
13 Trepca Mitrovice 34 9 7 18 49:62 34
14 Kika 34 9 6 19 25:43 33
15 Istogu 34 7 11 16 47:60 32
16 Rilindja 34 8 8 18 34:61 32
17 Kek-U 33 4 9 20 25:63 21
18 Prizreni 34 3 11 20 28:66 20
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