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Kematen vs SC Mils 05

Austria Austria

Tirol 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Tirol 2025/2026 game between Kematen and SC Mils 05 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kematen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Kematen
22%
Draws
18%
SC Mils 05
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Kematen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • SC Mils 05 have managed 0.75 goals a game lately — Kematen are scoring more at 2.25.
  • Win probability leans Kematen's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Tirol 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kematen here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Kematen Clean Sheet 17%
SC Mils 05 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kematen SC Mils 05
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 2.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 2 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Tirol
Kematen vs SC Mils 05
3:2
Oct 18, 2025 Tirol
SC Mils 05 vs Kematen
1:1
May 4, 2025 Tirol
Kematen vs SC Mils 05
1:0
Oct 6, 2024 Tirol
SC Mils 05 vs Kematen
0:3
Apr 21, 2023 Tirol
Kematen vs SC Mils 05
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kematen 57 / 100
SC Mils 05 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kematen SC Mils 05

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KEM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kematen's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: SC Mils 05 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: SC Mils 05 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kematen VS SC Mils 05
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kematen

(Home)
08 Jul
Kematen
0 : 6
SC Imst
11 Jun
Kematen
2 : 3
Motz/Silz
06 Jun
Fugen
6 : 1
Kematen
03 Jun
Kematen
4 : 1
Ebbs
30 May
Kematen
3 : 2
SC Mils 05
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SC Mils 05

(Away)
12 Jun
SC Kundl
4 : 3
SC Mils 05
07 Jun
SC Mils 05
0 : 3
SK St. Johann
04 Jun
FC Volders
3 : 1
SC Mils 05
30 May
Kematen
3 : 2
SC Mils 05
16 May
SC Mils 05
1 : 7
Motz/Silz
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