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Kematen vs SC Mils 05

Austria Austria

Tirol 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Tirol 2025/2026 game between Kematen and SC Mils 05 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kematen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Kematen
30%
Draws
37%
SC Mils 05
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Mils 05

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kematen come out ahead of SC Mils 05 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Kematen's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Tirol 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Kematen here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Kematen Clean Sheet 10%
SC Mils 05 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kematen SC Mils 05
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.84 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Tirol
Kematen vs SC Mils 05
3:2
Oct 18, 2025 Tirol
SC Mils 05 vs Kematen
1:1
May 4, 2025 Tirol
Kematen vs SC Mils 05
1:0
Oct 6, 2024 Tirol
SC Mils 05 vs Kematen
0:3
Apr 21, 2023 Tirol
Kematen vs SC Mils 05
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kematen 40 / 100
SC Mils 05 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kematen SC Mils 05

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kematen's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: SC Mils 05 conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Kematen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kematen VS SC Mils 05
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kematen

(Home)
19 Sept
Kematen
3 : 0
SV Oberperfuss
12 Sept
FC Volders
1 : 0
Kematen
04 Sept
Kematen
1 : 0
Vols
30 Aug
Ebbs
1 : 2
Kematen
21 Aug
Kematen
5 : 5
FC Natters
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SC Mils 05

(Away)
19 Sept
SV Haiming
0 : 1
SC Mils 05
12 Sept
SC Mils 05
1 : 1
SV Worgl
05 Sept
SC Mils 05
2 : 2
Stubai
28 Aug
Kolsass Weer
2 : 4
SC Mils 05
22 Aug
SC Mils 05
3 : 2
SV Oberperfuss
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