Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kenya W vs Tunisia W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Kenya W
15%
Draws
57%
Tunisia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tunisia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Kenya W haven't matched Tunisia W's recent run of results.
  • Tunisia W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Tunisia W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Kenya W Clean Sheet 18%
Tunisia W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kenya W Tunisia W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.39 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Tunisia W vs Kenya W
0:1
Feb 21, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Kenya W vs Tunisia W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kenya W 28 / 100
Tunisia W 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kenya W Tunisia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tunisia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tunisia W conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Tunisia W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Kenya W's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Kenya W VS Tunisia W
0.63 Goals Scored 1.67
1 Goals Conceded 1.17
63% Over 1.5 67%
13% Over 2.5 67%
0% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Kenya W

(Home)
03 Aug
Kenya W
0 : 2
Algeria W
30 Jul
Senegal W
1 : 0
Kenya W
26 Jul
Morocco W
4 : 0
Kenya W
09 Jun
Lesotho W
0 : 6
Kenya W
06 Jun
Zambia W
2 : 1
Kenya W
Page 1 of 6

Tunisia W

(Away)
08 Jun
Egypt W
3 : 2
Tunisia W
05 Jun
Egypt W
2 : 1
Tunisia W
16 Apr
Tunisia W
2 : 1
Comoros W
12 Apr
Tunisia W
1 : 0
Benin W
01 Nov
Chad W
1 : 0
Tunisia W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Angola W 4
Zimbabwe W 3
Malawi W -
Congo W -
Botswana W 0
D.R. Congo W 2
TBD -
South Africa W -
Tanzania W 4
Equatorial Guinea W 2
Uganda W 2
Ethiopia W 3
Eswatini W 0
Namibia W 4
TBD -
Zambia W -
Burundi W 1
Burkina Faso W 5
Djibouti W 0
Togo W 10
South Sudan W 0
Algeria W 8
TBD -
Cameroon W -
Rwanda W 2
Egypt W 3
TBD -
Ghana W -
Kenya W 1
Tunisia W 0
Niger W 1
Gambia W 4
Benin W 5
Sierra Leone W 2
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Guinea W 3
Cape Verde W 6
Gabon W 1
Mali W 10
Chad W -
Senegal W -
TBD -
Ivory Coast W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Angola W 0
Malawi W 2
D.R. Congo W 1
South Africa W 2
Tanzania W 3
Ethiopia W 0
Namibia W 2
Zambia W 7
Burkina Faso W 3
Togo W 0
Algeria W 3
Cameroon W 1
Egypt W 0
Ghana W 7
Kenya W 4
Gambia W 1
Benin W 1
Nigeria W 3
Cape Verde W 4
Mali W 3
Senegal W 1
Ivory Coast W 0
TBD -
TBD -