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Kerala vs Odisha football team

India India

Santosh Trophy
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Thadhayouse S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Kerala advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kerala
6%
Draws
4%
Odisha football team
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kerala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kerala come out ahead of Odisha football team on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Kerala taking it.
  • Kerala have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kerala, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kerala have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Kerala Clean Sheet 20%
Odisha football team Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kerala Odisha football team
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2026 Santosh Trophy
Kerala vs Odisha football team
1:0
Dec 19, 2024 Santosh Trophy
Odisha football team vs Kerala
0:2
Feb 17, 2023 Santosh Trophy
Odisha football team vs Kerala
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kerala Compare

Top Goalscorer Thadhayouse S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Odisha football team Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kerala 85 / 100
Odisha football team 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kerala Odisha football team

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kerala's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Odisha football team's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Kerala stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Odisha football team lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kerala VS Odisha football team
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kerala

(Home)
08 Feb
Services
1 : 0
Kerala
05 Feb
Punjab FT
0 : 4
Kerala
03 Feb
Kerala
3 : 0
Assam
01 Feb
Kerala
0 : 1
Services
29 Jan
Meghalaya
0 : 3
Kerala
Page 1 of 7

Odisha football team

(Away)
31 Jan
Punjab FT
5 : 2
Odisha football team
29 Jan
Odisha football team
1 : 1
Railways
27 Jan
Kerala
1 : 0
Odisha football team
24 Jan
Services
0 : 0
Odisha football team
22 Jan
Odisha football team
0 : 1
Meghalaya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1West Bengal FT53208:211
2Tamilnadu53116:210
3Rajasthan FC52126:87
4Assam51318:66
5Uttarakhand51135:74
6Nagaland50236:142
Promotion - Santosh Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kerala53118:310
2Railways51407:57
3Punjab FT521210:107
4Services51314:46
5Meghalaya51318:106
6Odisha football team50233:82
Promotion - Santosh Trophy (Play Offs)