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KF Egnatia vs Dinamo Tirana

Albania Albania

Super Cup Air Albania Stadium
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Match Events

8' Event
Ruci F.
42'
Aleksi A.
45'
Xhemajli A.

AI Match Summary

The Super Cup game between KF Egnatia and Dinamo Tirana finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dinamo Tirana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
KF Egnatia
11%
Draws
9%
Dinamo Tirana
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: KF Egnatia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • KF Egnatia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on KF Egnatia taking it.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Super Cup game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
KF Egnatia Clean Sheet 68%
Dinamo Tirana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KF Egnatia Dinamo Tirana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
KF Egnatia vs Dinamo Tirana
2:0
May 13, 2026 Albanian Cup
Dinamo Tirana vs KF Egnatia
3:2
May 2, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
Dinamo Tirana vs KF Egnatia
2:0
Feb 20, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
KF Egnatia vs Dinamo Tirana
1:0
Dec 28, 2025 Super Cup
KF Egnatia vs Dinamo Tirana
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KF Egnatia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruci F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Dinamo Tirana Compare

Top Goalscorer Bregu D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nani T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Egnatia 86 / 100
Dinamo Tirana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KF Egnatia Dinamo Tirana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EGN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KF Egnatia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

KF Egnatia scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Dinamo Tirana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

KF Egnatia VS Dinamo Tirana
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
KF Egnatia1
Dinamo Tirana3