Sport Picks

Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025

Korabi Peshkopi

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

KF Valbona play Korabi Peshkopi in the Kategoria e Parë 2024/2025. Korabi Peshkopi are favorites here. Recently, KF Valbona averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Korabi Peshkopi averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. In past meetings, KF Valbona won 0, Korabi Peshkopi won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 9, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for KF Valbona and 1.05 for Korabi Peshkopi. This points to a Korabi Peshkopi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

KF Valbona

16%

Draws

66%

Korabi Peshkopi

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Korabi Peshkopi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence

KF Valbona picked up more points recently compared to Korabi Peshkopi.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

KF Valbona Clean Sheet 22%

Korabi Peshkopi Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	KF Valbona	Korabi Peshkopi
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	3	12
Draws	6	8
Losses	21	13
Goals Scored	0.93	1.36
Goals Conceded	1.77	1.42

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Kategoria e Parë

KF Valbona vs Korabi Peshkopi

Possession: 50% - 54% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Jan 20, 2025 Kategoria e Parë

Korabi Peshkopi vs KF Valbona

Possession: 46% - 42% Cards: 3 - 2

4:2

Oct 20, 2024 Kategoria e Parë

KF Valbona vs Korabi Peshkopi

Possession: 51% - 59% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KF Valbona Compare

Top Goalscorer Balla D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Korabi Peshkopi Compare

Top Goalscorer Zeqiri R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Marku T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KF Valbona 21 / 100

Korabi Peshkopi 61 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

KF Valbona Korabi Peshkopi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Korabi Peshkopi Win (2)

Secondary Pick Korabi Peshkopi & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +80%

10.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

KF Valbona attacking → ← attacking Korabi Peshkopi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KF Valbona scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Korabi Peshkopi let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

KF Valbona went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Korabi Peshkopi lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 44

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vora	33	24	4	5	55:24	76
2	Flamurtari	33	23	6	4	62:21	75
3	Besa Kavaje	33	22	8	3	54:18	74
4	Burreli	33	16	10	7	36:22	58
5	Pogradeci	33	14	7	12	33:35	49
6	Apolonia Fier	33	11	12	10	45:32	45
7	Lushnja	33	13	5	15	39:41	44
8	Korabi Peshkopi	33	12	5	16	35:48	41
9	Kastrioti	33	11	5	17	35:49	38
10	Kukesi	33	8	4	21	29:56	28
11	KF Valbona	33	3	7	23	29:59	16
12	Erzeni Shijak	33	2	5	26	16:63	11