Sport Picks

Iran

Division 1 2023/2024

Fajr Sepasi

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Khalij Fars Mahshahr host Fajr Sepasi in the Division 1 2023/2024. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Khalij Fars Mahshahr have averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded recently, against Fajr Sepasi's 0.75 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Khalij Fars Mahshahr have won 0 to Fajr Sepasi's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 6, 2024, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.35 xG vs 0.93) point toward Fajr Sepasi. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Khalij Fars Mahshahr

20%

Draws

38%

Fajr Sepasi

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Khalij Fars Mahshahr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Fajr Sepasi come out ahead of Khalij Fars Mahshahr on wins alone.
Model gives Khalij Fars Mahshahr a 42% chance of winning this.
Regular Division 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 4 times recently and Fajr Sepasi have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%

Khalij Fars Mahshahr Clean Sheet 20%

Fajr Sepasi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Khalij Fars Mahshahr	Fajr Sepasi
Matches Played	22	31
Wins	5	12
Draws	5	7
Losses	12	12
Goals Scored	0	0.75
Goals Conceded	0	1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2024 Azadegan League

Khalij Fars Mahshahr vs Fajr Sepasi

0:0

Oct 27, 2023 Azadegan League

Fajr Sepasi vs Khalij Fars Mahshahr

2:0

Mar 29, 2023 Azadegan League

Khalij Fars Mahshahr vs Fajr Sepasi

0:4

Oct 25, 2022 Azadegan League

Fajr Sepasi vs Khalij Fars Mahshahr

3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khalij Fars Mahshahr 42 / 100

Fajr Sepasi 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Khalij Fars Mahshahr Fajr Sepasi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fajr Sepasi let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Fajr Sepasi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Khalij Fars Mahshahr scored in 59% of their last 22 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fajr Sepasi

0 Goals Scored 0.75

0 Goals Conceded 1.5

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History