Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Khenchela vs El Bayadh

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Amar Hamam Stadium, Khenchela
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Sub
Bendaoud A. In: Zenasni A.
Out: Bendaoud A.
32' Event
Etouga F.
43'
Benyahia D.

AI Match Summary

Khenchela in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Khenchela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Khenchela
35%
Draws
12%
El Bayadh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Khenchela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Khenchela have won more games recently than El Bayadh.
  • Win probability leans Khenchela's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Khenchela have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Khenchela Clean Sheet 68%
El Bayadh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khenchela El Bayadh
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 2
Draws 5 10
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.18 0.55
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Ligue 1
Khenchela vs El Bayadh
2:1
Dec 19, 2025 Ligue 1
El Bayadh vs Khenchela
1:2
Jun 21, 2025 Ligue 1
Khenchela vs El Bayadh
1:0
Dec 28, 2024 Ligue 1
El Bayadh vs Khenchela
1:2
Apr 26, 2024 Ligue 1
El Bayadh vs Khenchela
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khenchela Compare

Top Goalscorer Etouga F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matouti E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

El Bayadh Compare

Top Goalscorer Benyahia D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khenchela 77 / 100
El Bayadh 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khenchela El Bayadh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khenchela Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Khenchela remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Khenchela scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

El Bayadh has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Khenchela VS El Bayadh
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Khenchela

(Home)
18 Sept
Khenchela
1 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
04 Sept
Khenchela
0 : 0
USM Alger
05 Jun
Khenchela
1 : 0
Rouisset
25 May
Khenchela
2 : 1
USM Alger
19 May
Constantine
2 : 2
Khenchela
Page 1 of 6

El Bayadh

(Away)
19 Sept
Sidi Benali
1 : 0
El Bayadh
05 Jun
Mostaganem
2 : 2
El Bayadh
20 May
El Bayadh
0 : 0
Saoura
08 May
Khenchela
2 : 1
El Bayadh
17 Apr
El Bayadh
0 : 1
Paradou
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)