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Stadium Background

Khimki vs Krylya Sovetov Samara

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Khimki play Krylya Sovetov Samara in the Club Friendly 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Khimki averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Krylya Sovetov Samara averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. In past meetings, Khimki won 0, Krylya Sovetov Samara won 1, and they drew 4. Their last match on Apr 13, 2025 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Khimki and 1.18 for Krylya Sovetov Samara. This points to a Krylya Sovetov Samara double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Khimki
35%
Draws
35%
Krylya Sovetov Samara
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Krylya Sovetov Samara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Khimki picked up more points recently compared to Krylya Sovetov Samara.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.18 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Khimki Clean Sheet 20%
Krylya Sovetov Samara Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khimki Krylya Sovetov Samara
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.6 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.66

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Premier League
Khimki vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
1:3
Sep 29, 2024 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Khimki
0:0
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
Khimki vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
2:2
Feb 25, 2024 Club Friendly
Khimki vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
1:1
Apr 15, 2023 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Khimki
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khimki Compare

Top Goalscorer Zabolotnyi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trialist H
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Krylya Sovetov Samara Compare

Top Goalscorer Rahmanovic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shitov V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khimki 31 / 100
Krylya Sovetov Samara 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khimki Krylya Sovetov Samara

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Krylya Sovetov Samara or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Khimki attacking → ← attacking Krylya Sovetov Samara

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Khimki scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Krylya Sovetov Samara let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Khimki went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Krylya Sovetov Samara lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 43
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00