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Khovd Western vs Ulaangom City FC

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Sattorov M.
68' Event
Khurelbaataryn T.
70' Event
Batbold D.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Khovd Western and Ulaangom City FC finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Khovd Western.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Khovd Western
17%
Draws
13%
Ulaangom City FC
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Khovd Western

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Khovd Western carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Khovd Western taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Khovd Western Clean Sheet 11%
Ulaangom City FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Khovd Western Ulaangom City FC
Matches Played 20 22
Wins 7 3
Draws 3 2
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 4.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 4.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Premier League
Khovd Western vs Ulaangom City FC
2:3
Jun 13, 2026 Premier League
Ulaangom City FC vs Khovd Western
0:0
Oct 29, 2025 Premier League
Khovd Western vs Ulaangom City FC
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Khovd Western Compare

Top Goalscorer Sattorov M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Khurelbaataryn T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Ulaangom City FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Khovd Western 65 / 100
Ulaangom City FC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Khovd Western Ulaangom City FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KHO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ulaangom City FC conceded in 95% of 22 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Khovd Western scored in 70% of their last 20 games.

Khovd Western has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Khovd Western VS Ulaangom City FC
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 4.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Khovd Western

(Home)
04 Jul
Khoromkhon
1 : 3
Khovd Western
01 Jul
Khovd Western
2 : 3
Ulaangom City FC
28 Jun
Hunters
2 : 0
Khovd Western
22 Jun
Khovd Western
3 : 0
Khovd
18 Jun
Khovd Western
1 : 2
Khangarid
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Ulaangom City FC

(Away)
04 Jul
Ulaangom City FC
1 : 11
Hunters
01 Jul
Khovd Western
2 : 3
Ulaangom City FC
28 Jun
Ulaangom City FC
3 : 3
Khovd
25 Jun
Khoromkhon
2 : 4
Ulaangom City FC
17 Jun
Khoromkhon
2 : 5
Ulaangom City FC
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Ulaanbaatar16132165:941
2Central Stallions16123154:1439
3Khangarid16103359:1933
4Deren1693457:1630
5Hunters1673644:2724
6Khovd Western1653829:3618
7Khovd16401228:7312
8Khoromkhon16201427:866
9Ulaangom City FC16111416:994
10Falcons00000:00
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)