Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kibera vs Soy United

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Kibera Logo

Kibera

1 - 0
FT
Soy United Logo

Soy United

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Kibera and Soy United finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kibera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Kibera
35%
Draws
52%
Soy United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Soy United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Soy United have managed 0.8 goals a game lately — Kibera are scoring more at 0.83.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Kibera Clean Sheet 26%
Soy United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kibera Soy United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.83 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Super League
Kibera vs Soy United
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Super League
Soy United vs Kibera
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kibera 33 / 100
Soy United 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kibera Soy United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Soy United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kibera scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Soy United conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Kibera went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kibera VS Soy United
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kibera

(Home)
13 Jun
Nzoia Sugar
1 : 0
Kibera
07 Jun
Kibera
1 : 2
MCF
01 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kibera
27 May
Kibera
1 : 1
Nairobi City Stars
23 May
Migori
1 : 0
Kibera
Page 1 of 6

Soy United

(Away)
13 Jun
Luanda Villa
0 : 1
Soy United
07 Jun
Soy United
0 : 0
MOFA
01 Jun
Equity Bank
1 : 0
Soy United
28 May
Soy United
0 : 0
Kisumu All-Stars
24 May
Soy United
2 : 1
Kabati
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
Promotion - Premier League (Main)