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Kifisia vs AEL Larissa

Greece Greece

Super League 2025/2026 Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis, Athens
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Match Events

3' Event
Larouci Y.
6' Event
Tupta L.
Assist: Pasas G.
8'
Tupta L.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Kifisia and AEL Larissa finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kifisia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Kifisia
35%
Draws
35%
AEL Larissa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kifisia come out ahead of AEL Larissa on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Kifisia Clean Sheet 21%
AEL Larissa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kifisia AEL Larissa
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 6
Draws 12 13
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Super League
Kifisia vs AEL Larissa
3:2
Apr 22, 2026 Super League
AEL Larissa vs Kifisia
1:1
Jan 10, 2026 Super League
Kifisia vs AEL Larissa
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 Super League
AEL Larissa vs Kifisia
1:1
May 11, 2025 Super League 2
AEL Larissa vs Kifisia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kifisia Compare

Top Goalscorer Larouci Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pombo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

AEL Larissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Tupta L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kifisia 32 / 100
AEL Larissa 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kifisia AEL Larissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Kifisia scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

AEL Larissa let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Kifisia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kifisia VS AEL Larissa
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kifisia

(Home)
02 Aug
Waalwijk
3 : 0
Kifisia
29 Jul
Westerlo
1 : 1
Kifisia
25 Jul
De Graafschap
4 : 2
Kifisia
22 Jul
RAAL La Louviere
1 : 1
Kifisia
21 May
Kifisia
3 : 2
AEL Larissa
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AEL Larissa

(Away)
06 Aug
AEL Larissa
0 : 0
Zakynthos
21 May
Kifisia
3 : 2
AEL Larissa
16 May
AEL Larissa
2 : 1
Atromitos
12 May
Panetolikos
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
09 May
AEL Larissa
1 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
9 Atromitos 36 12 10 14 49:42 46
10 Kifisia 36 9 14 13 40:51 41
11 Asteras Tripolis 36 8 12 16 36:49 36
12 Panetolikos 36 9 9 18 35:51 36
13 AEL Larissa 36 5 15 16 34:56 30
14 Panserraikos 36 7 8 21 25:73 29
Relegation - Super League 2 2026/2027 (Main)