Sport Picks

Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1

PAOK Dytikou

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kilkisiakos play PAOK Dytikou in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kilkisiakos averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. PAOK Dytikou averaged 0.96 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Kilkisiakos won 2, PAOK Dytikou won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 1, 2026 ended 5:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Kilkisiakos and 1.38 for PAOK Dytikou. This points to a Kilkisiakos double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Kilkisiakos

30%

Draws

22%

PAOK Dytikou

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kilkisiakos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

Kilkisiakos picked up more points recently compared to PAOK Dytikou.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 50%

Over 3.5 Goals 30%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Kilkisiakos Clean Sheet 17%

PAOK Dytikou Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kilkisiakos	PAOK Dytikou
Matches Played	30	27
Wins	10	4
Draws	8	8
Losses	12	15
Goals Scored	1.47	0.96
Goals Conceded	1.6	1.93
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1

Kilkisiakos vs PAOK Dytikou

Possession: 52% - 48% Cards: 3 - 2

5:3

Jan 25, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1

Kilkisiakos vs PAOK Dytikou

Possession: 50% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

5:2

Oct 26, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1

PAOK Dytikou vs Kilkisiakos

Possession: 41% - 53% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kilkisiakos 47 / 100

PAOK Dytikou 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kilkisiakos PAOK Dytikou

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kilkisiakos or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.5%

2.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kilkisiakos attacking → ← attacking PAOK Dytikou

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kilkisiakos scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

PAOK Dytikou let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 5.67 goals.

Kilkisiakos went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

PAOK Dytikou lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 20

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13