Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup Rugby Park, Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

Tue, Jul 14, 2026

1 - 0

06:45 PM

Raith

Our Tip

Match Events

24'

Brandon J.

30'

Clescenco N.

46'

Sub

Clescenco N. In: Mathurin R.

Out: Clescenco N.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Kilmarnock advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Kilmarnock

39%

Draws

31%

Raith

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Kilmarnock haven't matched Raith's recent run of results.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Raith arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Raith, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Kilmarnock Clean Sheet 20%

Raith Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kilmarnock	Raith
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	11	12
Draws	4	6
Losses	12	10
Goals Scored	2.63	1.63
Goals Conceded	0.63	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 League Cup

Kilmarnock vs Raith

1:0

Jul 26, 2023 League Cup

Kilmarnock vs Raith

2:3

Apr 29, 2022 Championship

Raith vs Kilmarnock

1:1

Mar 2, 2022 Challenge Cup

Kilmarnock vs Raith

1:2

Feb 19, 2022 Championship

Kilmarnock vs Raith

3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kilmarnock 31 / 100

Raith 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kilmarnock Raith

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Kilmarnock stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Kilmarnock scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Raith has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Kilmarnock VS Raith

2.63 Goals Scored 1.63

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kilmarnock

(Home)

14 Jul

Kilmarnock

1 : 0

Raith

04 Jul

Linfield

2 : 3

Kilmarnock

01 Jul

Glentoran

0 : 4

Kilmarnock

17 May

Livingston

1 : 4

Kilmarnock

12 May

Kilmarnock

3 : 1

Dundee FC

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Raith

(Away)

14 Jul

Kilmarnock

1 : 0

Raith

11 Jul

Raith

3 : 1

Elgin City

30 Jun

Raith

4 : 0

Edinburgh City

27 Jun

Raith

2 : 2

Hamilton

01 May

Raith

3 : 2

Ross County

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