Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup Rugby Park, Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock

Tue, Jul 14, 2026

1 - 0

06:45 PM

Raith

Our Tip

Match Events

24'

Brandon J.

30'

Clescenco N.

46'

Sub

Clescenco N. In: Mathurin R.

Out: Clescenco N.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%

Kilmarnock

15%

Draws

64%

Raith

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Raith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Raith haven't matched Kilmarnock's recent run of results.
Raith are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Kilmarnock have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Raith, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Kilmarnock Clean Sheet 10%

Raith Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kilmarnock	Raith
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	15	14
Draws	3	4
Losses	11	10
Goals Scored	1.69	1.57
Goals Conceded	1.59	1.07
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 League Cup

Kilmarnock vs Raith

1:0

Jul 26, 2023 League Cup

Kilmarnock vs Raith

2:3

Apr 29, 2022 Championship

Raith vs Kilmarnock

1:1

Mar 2, 2022 Challenge Cup

Kilmarnock vs Raith

1:2

Feb 19, 2022 Championship

Kilmarnock vs Raith

3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kilmarnock 10 / 100

Raith 85 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kilmarnock Raith

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Raith Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:5

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kilmarnock's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Raith let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Kilmarnock remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kilmarnock VS Raith

1 Goals Scored 1.5

2.38 Goals Conceded 0.5

63% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 25%

50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kilmarnock

(Home)

15 Sept

Hibernian

0 : 1

Kilmarnock

12 Sept

Kilmarnock

1 : 2

Aberdeen

05 Sept

Aberdeen

0 : 0

Kilmarnock

02 Sept

Kilmarnock

0 : 1

St. Mirren

29 Aug

Kilmarnock

0 : 4

Dundee Utd

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Raith

(Away)

12 Sept

Raith

4 : 0

Arbroath

05 Sept

Inverness

0 : 2

Raith

28 Aug

Dunfermline

1 : 0

Raith

22 Aug

Raith

2 : 0

Ayr

08 Aug

Queen's Park

1 : 2

Raith

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