Sport Picks

Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Jose Antonio Valle, Mar del Plata

Kimberley

1 - 0

Germinal

Our Tip

Match Events

Castillo S.

29'

Sub

Ullua E. In: Vella L.

Out: Ullua E.

40'

Rojas J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kimberley in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kimberley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Kimberley

Draws

Germinal

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kimberley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Germinal lately — more wins on the board than Kimberley.
90% — that's where the model lands on Kimberley taking it.
Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 19%

Over 2.5 Goals 16%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%

Kimberley Clean Sheet 68%

Germinal Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kimberley	Germinal
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	8	10
Draws	12	8
Losses	9	11
Goals Scored	0.88	0.5
Goals Conceded	0.38	0.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Torneo Federal

Kimberley vs Germinal

1:0

Mar 29, 2026 Torneo Federal

Germinal vs Kimberley

0:0

Jun 8, 2025 Torneo Federal

Germinal vs Kimberley

1:2

Apr 7, 2025 Torneo Federal

Kimberley vs Germinal

0:0

Sep 1, 2024 Torneo Federal

Germinal vs Kimberley

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kimberley Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Germinal Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kimberley 95 / 100

Germinal 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kimberley Germinal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIM Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Kimberley remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Kimberley scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Germinal has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Kimberley VS Germinal

0.88 Goals Scored 0.5

0.38 Goals Conceded 0.38

25% Over 1.5 13%

25% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kimberley

(Home)

05 Jul

Sol de Mayo

1 : 2

Kimberley

28 Jun

Kimberley

3 : 0

Guillermo Brown

20 Jun

Olimpo Bahia Blanca

0 : 0

Kimberley

14 Jun

Kimberley

2 : 2

Alvarado

07 Jun

Santamarina

1 : 0

Kimberley

Page 1 of 6

Germinal

(Away)

12 Jul

Germinal

0 : 1

Olimpo Bahia Blanca

05 Jul

Alvarado

5 : 0

Germinal

28 Jun

Germinal

1 : 0

Santamarina

14 Jun

Villa Mitre

0 : 0

Germinal

07 Jun

Germinal

0 : 0

Circulo Deportivo

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sportivo Belgrano	17	7	8	2	19:7	29
2	Douglas Haig	17	8	4	5	20:14	28
3	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	17	7	5	5	15:10	26
4	Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo	17	7	5	5	22:18	26
5	9 de Julio Rafaela	17	7	4	6	27:25	25
6	Sportivo Las Parejas	17	5	8	4	11:12	23
7	Atletico Escobar	17	6	3	8	19:27	21
8	Independiente Chivilcoy	17	4	6	7	14:21	18
9	Gimnasia E.R.	17	4	5	8	12:17	17
10	El Linqueno	17	4	4	9	13:21	16

Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)

Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	San Martin Formosa	15	8	3	4	24:19	27
2	Bartolome Mitre	15	7	5	3	13:6	26
3	Sol de America	15	8	2	5	18:12	26
4	Sarmiento de La Banda	15	7	3	5	16:14	24
5	Juventud Antoniana	15	6	4	5	16:11	22
6	Defensores de Vilelas	16	6	1	9	21:26	19
7	Boca Unidos	15	5	3	7	19:22	18
8	Tucuman Central	15	5	1	9	13:18	16
9	Sarmiento Resistencia	15	2	6	7	10:22	12

Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)

Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cipolletti	16	7	4	5	19:15	25
2	Argentino MM	15	5	7	3	15:11	22
3	Biblioteca Atenas	15	6	4	5	12:13	22
4	Huracan Las Heras	15	6	4	5	11:13	22
5	Fundacion Amigos	15	4	8	3	17:14	20
6	Costa Brava	15	4	6	5	12:12	18
7	San Martin Mendoza	15	4	6	5	10:14	18
8	Juventud U.U.	15	3	7	5	10:10	16
9	Deportivo Rincon	15	4	4	7	12:16	16

Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)

Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	15	7	7	1	11:4	28
2	Alvarado	16	7	6	3	19:7	27
3	Kimberley	15	6	7	2	14:8	25
4	Villa Mitre	15	5	7	3	11:5	22
5	Germinal	15	4	6	5	7:12	18
6	Sol de Mayo	15	4	5	6	12:15	17
7	Guillermo Brown	15	3	5	7	11:20	14
8	Santamarina	15	2	7	6	9:15	13
9	Circulo Deportivo	15	2	6	7	7:15	12

Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)

Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)