Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Castillo S.
29'
29'
Sub
Ullua E. In: Vella L.
Out: Ullua E.
40'
40'
Rojas J.
AI Match Summary
Kimberley in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kimberley.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Kimberley lately — more wins on the board than Germinal.
- 35% — that's where the model lands on Kimberley taking it.
- Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Kimberley Clean Sheet 68%
Germinal Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kimberley | Germinal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 11 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.72 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 30, 2026 Torneo Federal
Kimberley vs Germinal
1:0
Mar 29, 2026 Torneo Federal
Germinal vs Kimberley
0:0
Jun 8, 2025 Torneo Federal
Germinal vs Kimberley
1:2
Apr 7, 2025 Torneo Federal
Kimberley vs Germinal
0:0
Sep 1, 2024 Torneo Federal
Germinal vs Kimberley
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kimberley Compare
Top Goalscorer Castillo S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Germinal Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kimberley 50 / 100
Germinal 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kimberley Germinal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kimberley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Kimberley remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Kimberley scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Germinal has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 1.20 goals.
Scoring Trends
Kimberley VS Germinal
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Kimberley
(Home) 13 Sept
Kimberley
0 : 0 Huracan Las Heras
05 Sept
Juventud Antoniana
0 : 3 Kimberley
30 Aug
Kimberley
0 : 2 Alvarado
23 Aug
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1 : 0 Kimberley
16 Aug
Kimberley
3 : 1 Cipolletti
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Kimberley
0 : 0 Huracan Las Heras
30 Aug
Kimberley
0 : 2 Alvarado
16 Aug
Kimberley
3 : 1 Cipolletti
03 Aug
Kimberley
1 : 0 Argentino MM
24 Jul
Kimberley
1 : 1 Circulo Deportivo
Page 1 of 3
Germinal
(Away) 13 Sept
Germinal
1 : 0 Guillermo Brown
06 Sept
Fundacion Amigos
1 : 1 Germinal
30 Aug
Germinal
0 : 0 Deportivo Rincon
23 Aug
Germinal
0 : 0 San Martin Mendoza
16 Aug
Sol de Mayo
1 : 0 Germinal
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Fundacion Amigos
1 : 1 Germinal
16 Aug
Sol de Mayo
1 : 0 Germinal
08 Aug
Costa Brava
1 : 1 Germinal
26 Jul
Guillermo Brown
2 : 0 Germinal
05 Jul
Alvarado
5 : 0 Germinal
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Douglas Haig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 21:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 17:12 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 27 |
| 5 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:27 | 25 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 12:13 | 24 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:29 | 22 |
| 8 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | 19 |
| 9 | El Linqueno | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14:21 | 19 |
| 10 | Gimnasia E.R. | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12:18 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25:19 | 30 |
| 2 | Bartolome Mitre | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 13:7 | 26 |
| 3 | Sol de America | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | 26 |
| 4 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Juventud Antoniana | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:11 | 25 |
| 6 | Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:26 | 19 |
| 7 | Boca Unidos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19:25 | 18 |
| 8 | Tucuman Central | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12:23 | 15 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cipolletti | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:15 | 25 |
| 2 | Argentino MM | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16:12 | 23 |
| 3 | Biblioteca Atenas | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 12:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Huracan Las Heras | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 11:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Fundacion Amigos | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 6 | Deportivo Rincon | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13:16 | 19 |
| 7 | San Martin Mendoza | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 11:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Costa Brava | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Juventud U.U. | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 10:10 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 13:4 | 31 |
| 2 | Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:7 | 27 |
| 3 | Kimberley | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 15:9 | 26 |
| 4 | Villa Mitre | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 14:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Germinal | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Sol de Mayo | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 15:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Santamarina | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9:17 | 13 |
| 9 | Circulo Deportivo | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8:16 | 13 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
